Today's Highlights

  • Federal Reserve maintained view to raise rates

  • UK retail sales stronger than expected

  • New Zealand Dollar made gains overnight

 

Current Market Overview

Overnight the Federal Reserve maintained their view that they would raise rates again this year and three times in 2018. The meeting was much more bullish than the market was anticipating and was the catalyst for a Dollar revival versus all major currencies. The Federal Reserve does not believe that the hurricanes will materially affect the US economy despite weaker data recently. 11 Federal officials see one more hike in 2017 which is four more than in June and Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen reinforced that optimism in her press conference when she noted that the recovery was still on track and that the economy will continue to grow at a moderate pace in the coming years. Exports and business investment are robust and the jobs market continues to increase at a healthy pace. Inflation is not expected to cause any issues and gradual hikes are still warranted according to policy makers. Markets are now pricing in a much higher chance of a hike in December. The hawkish message sent the Dollar soaring with EUR/USD backing off from 1.2000 and Sterling dipping back below 1.3500.

Sterling Dollar broke above 1.3600 briefly on stronger than expected retail sales, consumer spending jumped by 1% in August much higher than the 0.2% which had been expected. Spending in July was also revised higher. The bullish release far exceeded market expectations and will reinforce the Bank of England's view that early rate hikes may be necessary. The Pound was unable to hold onto gains due to renewed dollar strength in the afternoon and the weight of Brexit negotiations, however, if the data continues to outperform expect the calls for rate hikes to grow louder and the Pound to continue to rally.

Stronger data and polling showing that the ruling party is back in the lead for the weekend elections allowing the NZD to make gains overnight. The election is still too close to call although it would seem that the market is anticipating that the status quo will be maintained. Second quarter GDP is due this evening and although the central bank has been more cautious of late, growth is expected to have accelerated on the back of stronger retail sales. The Australian Dollar also rallied as Central Bank official, Ellis noted that there was still a lot of slack in the Australian Jobs market.

There is little tier one data due to be released today with borrowing data due from the UK this morning and jobless claims in the US this afternoon.

 

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Recommended Content


Recommended Content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD edges lower toward 1.0700 post-US PCE

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure but manages to hold above 1.0700 in the American session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) gathers strength against its rivals after the stronger-than-forecast PCE inflation data, not allowing the pair to gain traction.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD retreats to 1.2500 on renewed USD strength

GBP/USD lost its traction and turned negative on the day near 1.2500. Following the stronger-than-expected PCE inflation readings from the US, the USD stays resilient and makes it difficult for the pair to gather recovery momentum.

GBP/USD News

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold struggles to hold above $2,350 following US inflation

Gold turned south and declined toward $2,340, erasing a large portion of its daily gains, as the USD benefited from PCE inflation data. The benchmark 10-year US yield, however, stays in negative territory and helps XAU/USD limit its losses. 

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000

Bitcoin’s recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors. 

Read more

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too

Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the Euro.

Read more

Majors

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures