|

Mozambique: debt crisis despite Eurobond restructuring

Mozambique urgently needs to resume a medium-term agreement with the IMF, the latter having suspended its cooperation in 2016, after discovering a hidden debt of around 1.2 billion dollars. Already, a first default of a Eurobond issued on 2013 for an amount of 850 billion dollars, in order to finance patrol vessels, had led to a first restructuring. Following a second default in January 2017, a new restructuring agreement for about 900 billion dollars has been reached last September.

Nonetheless, the Mozambican state creditworthiness remains very fragile. A part of the hidden debt (around 8% of GDP) remains in default and a judicial battle is underway against Mozambican's state. The latter is asking for the deletion of one of the two state guarantees issued. Total external debt still represented 109% of GDP at the end of 2019. Without IMF support, new defaults are to be expected in the medium term.

GDP

Download The Full Ecoflash

Author

BNP Paribas Team

BNP Paribas Team

BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas Economic Research Department is a worldwide function, part of Corporate and Investment Banking, at the service of both the Bank and its customers.

More from BNP Paribas Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD flirts with two-day lows near 1.3180

GBP/USD remains on the back foot in the latter part of Tuesday’s session, sliding to the sub-1.3200 area and challenging weekly lows. Cable’s decline comes as investors assess the political uncertainty in the UK, coupled with softer-than-expected UK PMI data and the better tone in the Greenback.

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1400 on stronger Dollar

EUR/USD adds to Monday’s losses and recedes below the 1.1400 support to clinch fresh 13-month lows in the latter part of Tuesday’s NA session. The pair’s marked sell-off comes on the back of the persistent move higher in th US Dollar, always propped up by rising bets of further tightening by the Fed.

Gold appears supported near $4,100 for now

Gold rapidly reverses Monday's bounce and is trading sharply lower on Tuesday. The yellow metal, however, manages well to keep business above the $4,100 mark per troy ounce despite a firmer US Dollar and expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer.

Bittensor and Near Protocol Outlook: AI-linked tokens face deeper sell-off
The cryptocurrency market trades amid increasing sell-side pressure on Tuesday, reflecting a broader deterioration in sentiment and appetite for risk assets. Artificial Intelligence (AI)-linked tokens such as Bittensor (TAO) and Near Protocol (NEAR) exhibit both fundamental and technical weaknesses, trading at $217 and $1.99, respectively.
"Rearranging the deckchairs on the Titanic": UK's fiscal crisis outlasts another Prime Minister

Keir Starmer's resignation as the UK Prime Minister comes ten years after the Brexit referendum vote, a coincidence that financial markets have been quick to note. The British Pound trades around 1.3220 against the US Dollar on Thursday.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.