|

Market recovery continues as helicopters fly overhead

An unprecedented bout of stimulus is helping prop up global equities, with investors hoping to pick up some staple travel firms in the hope of a long-term recovery. Meanwhile, gold and bitcoin are finding favour as traders consider the consequences of a world with seemingly endless supplies of stimulus.   

  • European stocks rise, as stimulus packages come thick and fast
  • Gold finally finds favour as a haven asset
  • Traders rush to pick up hard-hit travel stocks

European indies are managing to maintain the bullish momentum following a day of historical gains yesterday. As we find ourselves in the midst of an unprecedented bout of global fiscal stimulus, there is plenty of good news helping to overshadow the inevitable economic difficulty that lies ahead. To a large extent the growth of the virus and expectation of economic weakness is a known to markets, with the size of the bailouts providing the unknown element that is gradually released to the benefit of market sentiment. However, it is unlikely that the selling is quite over yet, with the current market gains expected to falter once we move beyond this phase of persistent fiscal stimulus announcements. Helicopter money appears to be the tool of choice for many, with both Japan and the US expected to provide direct financial payments in a bid to alleviate any financial squeeze that many may be experiencing. However, this crisis is multifaceted in nature, and it is the lack of demand for businesses which will continue to drive this economic downturn. 

In a world of seemingly endless stimulus, it comes as no surprise to see traders favour the non-fiat assets such as gold and bitcoin. Initial gold weakness in the face of funding concerns are now easing, with gold seemingly unable to operate as a haven when global markets are in freefall. Interestingly, while stocks are on the rebound this week, we are finally seeing gold belatedly act as a haven as the threat of recession and continued stimulus sees traders flock to pick up gold where they can.

Chief amongst today's gainers are those stocks which are expected to suffer the most throughout this period of economic decline. Airlines, hotel groups, and banks are all finding favour in an environment where traders attempt to find value in businesses that are expected to ride out the turbulence of a global shutdown. Despite the chancellor's decision to hold back on any airline bailouts, the offer to act as a lender of last resort highlights the fact that the government is unlikely to let these multinational businesses fail. 

Ahead of the open we expect the Dow Jones to open 587 points higher, at 21,292.

Author

Joshua Mahony MSTA

Joshua Mahony MSTA

Scope Markets

Joshua Mahony is Chief Markets Analyst at Scope Markets. Joshua has a particular focus on macro-economics and technical analysis, built up over his 11 years of experience as a market analyst across three brokers.

More from Joshua Mahony MSTA
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD makes a U-turn, focus on 1.1900

EUR/USD’s recovery picks up further pace, prompting the pair to retarget the key 1.1900 barrier amid further loss of momentum in the US Dollar on Wednesday. Moving forward, investors are expected to remain focused on upcoming labour market figures and the always relevant US CPI prints on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD sticks to the bullish tone near 1.3660

GBP/USD maintains its solid performance on Wednesday, hovering around the 1.3660 zone as the Greenback surrenders its post-NFP bounce. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold holds on to higher ground ahead of the next catalyst

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar and despite firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP sell-side pressure intensifies despite surge in addresses transacting on-chain 

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.

US jobs data surprises to the upside, boosts stocks but pushes back Fed rate cut expectations

This was an unusual payrolls report for two reasons. Firstly, because it was released on  Wednesday, and secondly, because it included the 2025 revisions alongside the January NFP figure.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.