|

Here’s what a Trump victory could mean for Gold prices [Video]

It's a fact, the high-stakes U.S Presidential Election is capturing the world's attention as one of the biggest and most lucrative macro trading opportunities of this year, if not this decade. 

With the U.S Presidential Election now just over a week away, most major polls show Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in a very close race for the popular vote. 

However Wall Street seems increasingly convinced that Donald Trump is going to win – And the prospect of that outcome is whipping up an explosive money-making storm as traders begin pricing in the potential return of the so-called “Trump Trade.” 

According to analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence – the Trump Trade refers to a set of highly profitable money-making trends and market behaviours that emerged during Donald Trump’s previous presidency – as savvy traders positioned themselves to benefit from his “Make America Great Again” policies and economic agenda. 

Historically, U.S Elections are known to be extraordinary macroeconomic events that are guaranteed to move the Gold market significantly – largely due to political uncertainty and the potential for shifting economic policies. 

And this time around should be no different! 

In the weeks leading up to the 2016 U.S Presidential Election between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton – Gold prices surged furiously to score multiple back-to-back record highs. 

And guess what? And that's exactly what we're seeing play out again right now.

At the time of writing on Tuesday, Gold prices skyrocketed to a new all-time record high of $2,771 an ounce, surpassing the precious metals previous all-time high of $2,758 an ounce reached only a week earlier – extending its gains by an impressive 54%, from this time 12-months ago. 

The big question now is: What Will A Trump Victory Mean For Gold Prices Ahead?

In a note to clients, analysts at GSC Commodity Intelligence wrote “that a Trump victory could ignite a new Supercycle in Gold prices off the back of a multitude of economic factors, with the most monumental being his stance on tariffs”. 

It's no secret that Donald Trump has already signalled a return to his “America First” rhetoric, with a renewed focus on imposing tariffs. In particular, Trump has floated the idea of a 60% tariff on all Chinese goods – a move, which could ultimately reignite global inflation and increase demand for safe-haven assets like Gold. 

Interestingly, during Trump’s previous presidency Gold prices experienced exponential growth. When Trump took office in January 2017, Gold was trading near $1,209 an ounce. By the end of his term in January 2021, Gold was hovering near a high of $1,957 an ounce. 

Regardless of whoever wins the U.S Presidential Election on November 5 – the fact, that both candidates are proposing inflationary policies, guarantees to unleash one of the most bullish backdrops for Gold prices ahead, the world has ever seen!

Where are prices heading next? Watch The Commodity Report now, for my latest price forecasts and predictions:

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.