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Gold unexpectedly reversed, opening up risks to the downside in the short term

XAU/USD

  • Gold initially beat 3390 for an important buy signal hitting targets of 3393, 3400, 3405 & 3420/3425.
  • However Gold unexpectedly collapsed from 3438 breaking strong support at 3410/07.
  • The break below 3400 hit the downside target of 3389/87 & we fell as far as 3375.
  • The false breakout fooled me & yesterday' bearish engulfing candle indicates a bull trap meaning further losses are expected in to the end of the week.
  • We now have resistance at 3389/93 so could see a high for the day here on any short term recovery.
  • Shorts need stops above 3398.
  • A break below 3373 is more likely & targets 3365/60.
  • A low for the day is certainly possible here in short term overbought conditions - it's a little risky & longs need stops below 3355 but if the level holds we could see a good bounce to 3374 & as far as 3385, so it could be worth the risk.
  • Just be aware that a break below 3355 targets a buying opportunity at 3343/39.
  • Longs need stops below 3333 - targets: 3357, 3365 - 3372 looks possible.
  • Just be aware that if Gold unexpectedly beats 3398 we can target 3405/08 but unlikely any further.

XAG/USD

  • Silver unexpectedly collapsed from 3952 & broke back below 3915/10 so bulls have lost control & longs in the short term.
  • We just made an over night low 2 points above the support at 3875/70.
  • However I think this level will be broken at some stage today & we will continue lower towards better support at 3853/48.
  • A low for the day is likely here but longs need stops below 3840.
  • Targets: 3864 & 3873 for profit taking.
  • Just be aware that a break below 3840 risks a slide to 3800/3790.

Author

Jason Sen

Jason Sen

DayTradeIdeas.co.uk

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