|

Gold trades at major yearly resistance

The gold price has fallen from yearly pivotal resistance of $1,975 below the $1,900 region. However, the support level of $1,878 is maintained, and the price goes up by 2% to $1,945 per troy ounce. Investors appear to have significant safety concerns in the face of the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine. The high level of risk aversion among market participants is reflected in tumbling stock markets and significantly lower bond yields, both of which make gold appealing as safe haven. This week’s economic calendar is packed with events, the most important of which is Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data, which is required for gold to react appropriately.

Aside from the demands for safe heaven, the Russia-Ukraine conflict puts financial markets at risk due to the increasing crisis between these two countries. Because of these risks, the trading environment has become extremely dangerous for traders. As a result, the price is highly uncertain. Investors are becoming more fearful as a result of this uncertainty. The chart below depicts the formation of a triangle that was broken in February 2022. However, the February 2022 closing level was below the decision line (blue), indicating that the breakout is still not confirmed. On the other hand, the worsening situation in Europe calls the gold breakout into question until further confirmations by more price candles. During these crises, prices typically mislead investors with fictitious breakouts.

The chart below, which was presented in the premium update a few weeks ago, mentioned the targets of $1,920 and $1,975 from the breakout of a symmetrical triangle. Prices rise to $1,975 before reversing sharply from the yearly pivotal resistance to mark the short-term top. Prices have re-entered the market after rebounding from the $1,880 region’s supports. Silver, on the other hand, is struggling to make the $25.75 region a major decision zone for bulls. For the last few months, premium members have been discussing the level of $25.75, which has become the pivot for medium-term breakouts.


Unlock exclusive gold and silver trading signals and updates that most investors don’t see. Join our free newsletter now!

Author

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Gold Predictors

Muhammad Umair is a financial markets analyst and investor who focuses on the forex and precious metals markets.

More from Muhammad Umair, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold struggles to build on recovery from YTD low as Fed hike bets cap gains

Gold kicks off the new week on a positive note, snapping a two-day losing streak and reversing part of Friday's heavy losses to sub-$3,900 levels, or its lowest since October 2025. The optimism over a potential diplomatic breakthrough to end the US-Iran war caps the safe-haven US Dollar, and offers some support to the commodity. Meanwhile, US Federal Reserve rate hike bets remain firmly on the table amid oil-driven inflation concerns and might act as a headwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple rebound as November begins after a losing October

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple recover slightly on Monday after closing October with four straight weeks of losses. BTC climbs above $78,462 after finding support around its key support zones, while ETH rebounds above $2,295 but remains below key Exponential Moving Averages, keeping its near-term outlook bearish.

Middle East War updates: Iran warns of expanded strikes against US despite progress in talks

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.