|

Gold rally is just the beginning in 2024

The gold market started a strong rally in 2024, which is just the beginning of a new wave and is expected to continue increasing prices. Following years of bullish price action, the market has finally shattered the long-term pivot of $2,075. This pivot has been discussed with experts and analysts for several years. This breakout on the yearly chart is a testament to the dynamic nature of the gold market. This reflects the significant shift that could redefine investment strategies for years to come.

Historically, the pivot was identified through an in-depth examination of long-term cycles in the gold market, focusing on the $1,680 inflection point. This point was projected to serve as a strong long-term bottom. The journey to this breakout began after the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, setting the stage for five years of consolidation that has mapped the bullish price action on the long term charts.

The yearly candles for 2021 and 2022, characterized as inside bars, signaled price compression, hinting at the pent-up energy awaiting release, as shown in the chart above. This price compression resulted in a price surge, a phenomenon that has begun to unfold. The year 2023 served as a turning point, with a solid yearly candle closing at higher levels and breaching the breakout line, indicating a bullish continuation in the coming years.

Understanding the breakout of Gold inverted head and shoulders

The monthly chart shows further insights into the long-term market, which shows the break above the long-term inverted head and shoulders pattern. This bullish pattern shows several attempts at breaking the neckline until March 2024, when the market closed above the breakout line. This development reinforces the bullish sentiment and paves the way for a continued rally in the months ahead.

The period of price correction that followed was not viewed with trepidation but rather as a golden opportunity for traders and investors. These corrections are ideal moments to engage with the market, underpinning the strategy that every dip is a buying opportunity in the current climate. This mindset has been bolstered by another bullish setup indicated on a monthly chart, showcasing a consolidation phase between $2,075 and $1,680, as discussed in 2022. The eventual breakout above $2,075, following the inverted head and shoulders pattern, signifies a departure from the long-term trend, setting the stage for potentially higher prices.

The significance of this breakthrough cannot ignored. For over a decade, the gold market has presented unparalleled opportunities for those with the foresight and patience to navigate its cycles. With the $2,075 mark breach, the market is signaling a shift that could redefine the landscape for gold traders and investors. This development is not just a reflection of past patterns but a beacon indicating the future direction of the gold market.

Evaluating the Gold market targets

Given that the gold market is experiencing a solid bullish trend with steadily rising prices, pinpointing exact price targets becomes challenging. However, it’s noticeable that the ascending broadening wedge pattern, shared with premium members in 2022, has established a foundation with an inverted head and shoulders formation. The breach above $2,075 paves the way for prices to ascend toward the upper limit of the ascending broadening wedge, situated in the vicinity of $3,000. Should prices swiftly approach this area, a significant price correction may ensue. This rally is likely marked by considerable volatility, suggesting that price corrections could occur intermittently.

However, this optimistic outlook comes with caution regarding market volatility and the inherent risks of trading. The importance of prudent money management strategies cannot be understated. As the market ventures into uncharted territory, managing risks effectively will be paramount for those looking to capitalize on emerging opportunities.

In conclusion, the gold market’s breakthrough above the $2,075 pivot marks the beginning of a new chapter, likely characterized by sustained growth and promising prospects. As we look ahead, the strategies that investors and traders adopt in response to this development will be crucial in determining their success in navigating the evolving landscape of the gold market. The journey ahead promises to be as rewarding as it is challenging, heralding a new era of opportunities in the world of gold trading.


Unlock exclusive gold and silver trading signals and updates that most investors don’t see. Join our free newsletter now!

Author

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Gold Predictors

Muhammad Umair is a financial markets analyst and investor who focuses on the forex and precious metals markets.

More from Muhammad Umair, PhD
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).