|

Gold Price Forecast: Hovering around $1,820 in a quiet start to the week

XAU/USD Current price: $1,819.83

  • A holiday in the US maintains the asset's trading within familiar levels.
  • The macroeconomic calendar has nothing relevant to offer this week.
  • XAU/USD is neutral in the near term, with the risk skewed to the upside in the wider perspective.

Spot gold seesaws around Friday’s close, with trading limited amid US markets closure due to Martin Luther King day. The dollar managed to advance modestly during the European session, resulting in the metal trimming early gains.

Generally speaking, the week will be a quiet one, as the macroeconomic calendar has nothing relevant to offer. Nevertheless, market participants will be keeping their eyes on government bond yields, which lately reflect inflation-related fears.

Gold price short-term technical outlook

Gold trades at around $1,819 a troy ounce, neutral-to-bullish according to the daily chart. The bright metal holds above all of its moving averages, with the 20 SMA grinding higher above the longer ones. Technical indicators, in the meantime, remain within positive levels, although lacking directional strength.

The near term picture for the  XAU/USD pair is plain neutral, as a flat 20 SMA provides intraday resistance, while technical indicators hover directionless around their midlines. Bulls may have better chances if the metal breaks above 1,829.60, a relevant resistance level.  

Support levels: 1.812.30 1,805.00 1,797.70

Resistance levels: 1,829.60 1,842.85 1,851.30

View Live Chart for the XAU/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD gains traction near  0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD finds fresh buyers and retakes 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. However, RBA rate-hike bets and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic efforts lift risk sentiment and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar and the major.

USD/JPY reverses a dip below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY is reversing a brief dip below 156.00 in the Asian session on Thursday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to seven-week highs, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This keeps the pair's upside limited, with the focus now shifting to the BoJ policy decision due on Friday.

Gold: Upside appears capped by $4,400

Gold climbs sharply and clinches fresh weekly peaks on Thursday, although the bull run seems to have met some initial hurdle around the $4,400 zone per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s rebound reverses three daily declines in a row and follows the modest retracement in the US Dollar as well as another negative performance of crude oil prices.

BoE recap: A cautious stance amid rising inflation risks

The Bank of England left Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message as its inflation outlook deteriorated sharply.

One hike down, more to come? The Fed’s new rate path says yes

The Federal Reserve (Fed) raised its Fed Fund Target Range (FFTR) range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% in a unanimous decision, saying the move would support a timelier return to its 2% inflation goal.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.