|premium|

Gold Price Forecast: $1,900 could be next key support as bears refuse to give in

  • Gold Price keeps pushing lower amid broad-based US dollar demand.
  • Investors seek refuge in the USD on concerns over hawkish Fed bets and growth.
  • XAUUSD tests monthly lows, with more downside eyed in the week ahead.

The Gold Price correction from six-week highs of $1,998 gathered steam during the second half of the previous after Fed Chair Jerome Powell confirmed a 50-base hike for the May meeting while calling for front-loading rate rises. The aggressive Fed’s tightening expectations raised concerns over its negative impact on the American corporate sector and eventually on the economic performance. The market’s perception of risk sentiment turned negative on these risks, triggering ‘sell everything’ mode on Friday while bolstering the safe-haven bids for the US dollar. Gold Price, therefore, sank in tandem with the US stocks, reaching the lowest levels in 10 days at $1,927. The looming Russia-Ukraine risks and China covid concerns helped limit the losses in Gold Price, as it closed the week just above $1,930.

Gold Price is accelerating the bearish momentum this Monday to test the April lows of $1,915, as risk-off flows dominate alongside the dollar’s demand on the hawkish Fed bets. Fresh concerns over the spread of the covid outbreak to China’s capital Beijing and fears over a potential lockdown added to the dour mood. The bond market rout paused amid increased haven demand, weighing heavily on the Treasury yields. Although Gold Price has failed to capitalize on falling yields, thus far. Later in the day, the Fed expectations and the dollar’s price action will continue to have a significant impact on XAUUSD amid the Fed’s ‘blackout’ period and a lack of first-tier US economic data. Incoming Russia-Ukraine headlines will be eyed after Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met with US Secretary of State Blinken and Defense Secretary Austin on Sunday.

Gold Price Chart: Daily chart

Gold’s daily chart shows that bears are awaiting a sustained move below the April 15 lows of $1,915.

The bearish potential remains intact around XAUUSD after the price closed the week below the critical 21 and 50-Daily Moving Averages (DMA), currently at $1,943 and $1,937 respectively.

If sellers manage to gain a foothold below the $1,915 level, then a further sell-off to the $1,900 mark will be in the offing.

The next stop for bearish traders is envisioned at the March lows of $1,890.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is pointing lower below the central line, backing the case for further declines.

Alternatively, any recovery attempts are likely to meet the initial supply at 50-DMA, above which recapturing the 21-DMA will be critical for the additional upside.

The $1,950 psychological level will be the level to beat for gold bulls.

Premium

You have reached your limit of 3 free articles for this month.

Start your subscription and get access to all our original articles.

Subscribe to PremiumSign In

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.