|

Gold outlook: Deeper correction or positioning for fresh push higher

Gold

Gold price eased further on Wednesday, after loss of psychological $2500 support generated initial signal of potential deeper pullback.

Extension below 20DMA (2489) dented pivotal Fibo support at $2473 (38.2% of $2379/$2531 upleg) adding to weakening outlook.

Daily close below 20DMA to boost signal, while clear break of $2473 Fibo level to confirm.

Technical studies on daily chart are weaker, though overall picture is still positive and current pullback could mark a healthy correction before larger bulls regain full control.

Gold remains supported by geopolitical tensions and US rate cuts, but was deflated by the recent signals that Fed will very likely go for 25 basis points cut and skip aggressive actions at the start of easing cycle.

Markets focus on a series of reports from the US labor sector, which will provide more information and determine the magnitude of Fed’s action in September’s monetary policy meeting.

Res: 2489; 2500; 2505; 2526.
Sup: 2470; 2455; 2437; 2422.

Gold

Interested in XAU/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 2541.34
    2. R2 2523.85
    3. R1 2508.42
  1. PP 2490.93
    1. S1 2475.5
    2. S2 2458.01
    3. S3 2442.58

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.