|

Gold near all-time high – What's next?

  • Gold’s impressive appreciation stabilizes near record high.

  • The bulls might take a break, but stay in play above 2,100.

Gold

Gold bulls staged a comeback with a bang, driving the price vertically as high as 2,141 on Tuesday. This is marginally below December’s record high of 2,144 and could induce some consolidation ahead of Powell’s testimony before Congress and Friday’s US jobs data.

In the meantime, the precious metal is looking for another upturn in the four-hour chart after posting a small doji candlestick around 2,125. The technical indicators are not promising at the moment, as the MACD seems to have entered a new negative phase and the stochastic oscillator continues to trend to the downside. Moreover, the RSI keeps moving sideways within the overbought zone, suggesting that the latest bullish action might soon run out of steam.

If the bulls stay in play, the price might attempt to breach the 2,144 ceiling with scope to reach the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the previous downtrend at 2,152. The 2,175 region might be the next target as the resistance line, which connects the March highs, is positioned around the same territory. A break higher could see a test near the 2,200 psychological mark.

In the event the price flips backwards and beneath 2,125, the price might initially stabilize somewhere between yesterday’s support zone of 2,110 and the key 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) at 2,102. Even lower, the decline might pause around December’s resistance of 2,087 and then near the key constraining area of 2,079.

All in all, gold’s rocket rally might shift into a consolidation phase near the 2023 all-time high in the coming sessions. The two candlesticks, which followed yesterday's peak and have the same body size could be interpreted as a sign of indecisiveness. Nevertheless, the big picture remains positive and as long as the price keeps trading above the 2,100 level and the 20-period EMA, more bullish actions could develop. 

Author

Christina Parthenidou

Christina joined the XM investment research department in May 2017. She holds a master degree in Economics and Business from the Erasmus University Rotterdam with a specialization in International economics.

More from Christina Parthenidou
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD continues to build on its recovery in the latter part of Wednesday’s session, with upside momentum accelerating as the pair retargets the key 1.1900 barrier amid a further loss of traction in the US Dollar. Attention now shifts squarely to the US data docket, with labour market figures and the always influential CPI releases due on Thursday and Friday, respectively.

GBP/USD sticks to the bullish tone near 1.3660

GBP/USD maintains its solid performance on Wednesday, hovering around the 1.3660 zone as the Greenback surrenders its post-NFP bounce. Cable, in the meantime, should now shift its attention to key UK data due on Thursday, including preliminary GDP gauges.

Gold holds on to higher ground ahead of the next catalyst

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place on Wednesday, retargeting the $5,100 zone per troy ounce on the back of modest losses in the US Dollar and despite firm US Treasury yields across the curve. Moving forward, the yellow metal’s next test will come from the release of US CPI figures on Friday.

UNI faces resistance at 20-day EMA following BlackRock's purchase and launch of BUIDL fund on Uniswap

Decentralized exchange Uniswap (UNI) announced on Wednesday that it has integrated asset manager BlackRock's tokenized Treasury product on its trading platform via a partnership with tokenization firm Securitize.

US jobs data surprises to the upside, boosts stocks but pushes back Fed rate cut expectations

This was an unusual payrolls report for two reasons. Firstly, because it was released on  Wednesday, and secondly, because it included the 2025 revisions alongside the January NFP figure.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.