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Gold extends correction from overbought conditions – $3,310 last hope for bulls?

Gold prices (XAU/USD) are trading $3350, $18 below the previous Day close of $3368. The current price action is influenced by a shift toward risk-on sentiment and a decrease in safe-haven demand as trade deal with Japan cools some of the tariff concerns.

Fundamental analysis

The fundamental outlook for gold is mixed, with several factors influencing its price:

  • Risk-on Sentiment: A boost in global equities due to trade deal prospects is pressuring gold prices.
  • US Dollar Strength: Dollar Index shows modest recovery from 97 area, causing pressure on Gold prices.

Technical analysis

From a technical standpoint, gold is showing bearish momentum as long as prices face challenge at immediate resistance $3358:

  • Resistance Levels: Key resistance levels are at $3365, $3375, and $3385.
  • Support Levels: Strong support levels are at $3343, $3335, and $3310.
  • RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading at 37 on 4 Hour time frame indicates bearish sentiment.

Actionable trading ideas

Buy scenarios

  • Buy Zone: $3345-$3343, target $3360-$3370-$3380-$3390.
  • Aggressive Long: Buy at $3336-$3331, stop loss below $3308.
  • Upward Rebound requires break above $3358 to aim $3368-$3375-$3385.

Sell scenarios

  • Sell Below $3375: Targets at $3351, $3341, and $3331.
  • Short Positional Swing: Sell at $3388-$3390, stop loss at $3395, target $3380-$3365-$3350-$3340.

Key levels to watch

  • Resistance: $3375, $3385, $3396, $3400.
  • Support: $3340, $3330, $3310.

Note: Though Gold current price action remains short-term bearish, demand accumulation from value bargain areas may witness consolidated break above immediate resistance zone and further bullish rebound may not be ruled out.

Author

Sunil Kumar Dixit

Sunil Kumar Dixit is Chief Technical Strategist and founder of SK Charting, a research firm based in India. He tracks Precious Metals, Energy, Indices and Currency Pairs. He also participates as an expert panellist on Channel Television, Nigeria.

More from Sunil Kumar Dixit
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