|

Gold breakout: The Gold reserve race has started [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire details how the August gold breakout caught mainstream analysts off guard, as central banks and sovereign buyers accelerate their shift away from dollar debt and into physical gold at a new pace.

As Shanghai silver premiums hit 13% and Chinese demand surges back into the market, the precious metals expert outlines why both metals remain deeply attractive — and why the window to act ahead of a structural repricing is narrowing.

Youtube preview

Timestamps:

  • 00:00 Start
  • 02:42 Why the August gold breakout was not about headlines, and what really drove it
  • 06:53 Central banks reducing dollar holdings in favour of physical gold
  • 11:08 How Project Enbridge and the yuan are building a non-dollar settlement system
  • 16:57 Why London's tokenised gold push is a structural mistake
  • 20:07 JP Morgan's strategy: concede the gold story publicly, contain it synthetically
  • 25:18 Short-term chart footprints and where institutional support is building
  • 33:39 Silver's breakout: what the premiums and ETF flows are signalling
  • 37:57 Why silver could double from current levels into year end

Author

Samuel Briggs

Samuel Briggs

Kinesis Money

Samuel holds a deep understanding of the precious metals markets, and as an in-house journalist for 1:1 gold and silver-backed monetary system, Kinesis, he is chiefly responsible for updating the community with insights and analys

More from Samuel Briggs
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD battles 0.7000 amid bullish USD

AUD/USD keeps its offered tone intact near 0.7000 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on an October Fed rate hike. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the pair ahead of Tuesday's RBA policy announcements.

USD/JPY climbs back toward 158.00 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY finds dip-buyers and reverses part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish Minutes cap the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further supports the pair, driving it back toward 158.00.

Gold slides to $4,200 on Fed hike bets and Iran risks

Gold falls hard at the start of a new week, sliding back closer to $4,200 and the lower boundary of the monthly range. Firming October Fed rate-hike bets, along with oil-driven inflation risks, keep US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs, helping the US Dollar regain positive traction amid persistent Iran risks. These factors weigh heavily on the bullion.

Week ahead: Rate hike bets face a crucial data week
Despite the solid drop from the mid-September high, oil prices remained in the driver’s seat for another week, setting the tone in financial markets. Six months have passed since the late-February start of the US-Iran conflict, and there is still no breakthrough in the stalled talks, despite pressure from regional leaders and the rest of the world.
After the Trump Xi summit, markets are trading three clocks
The summit delivered time, not a deal. Trade, oil and chips now each run to a date, and the macro backdrop matters more than the pageantry. Markets wanted a deal and got a calendar date instead. Xi Jinping left Washington on Friday after tea at the White House and a tour of the National Archives.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.