|

Gold and silver consolidation at first target of bounce

Gold has rebounded strongly from the $1,680 inflection point to retest the red trend line of the ascending broadening patterns. In previous updates, we discussed a strong bounce from the $1,680 level to the red trend line, where the decision will be made. The pivot numbers were $1,772 and $1,833, and a weekly close above $1,833 was required. After the bounce, the red trendline in spot gold charts is now approaching $1833. The two cases discussed in the previous premium update remain valid in the gold market. Based on the gold market recent structure, the price still requires some breakout from the key levels.

Gold

Silver market outlook

We expected silver to fall from $25.75 to $18.70, where it would likely act as a strong support for the year and spark a strong rally. So far, no weekly close has been below $18.70, and the price has risen to the first resistance level of $20.80. Until silver breaks the weekly $20.80-$21.20 level, the rally in the silver market may be halted for some time, resulting in consolidation with wide ranges. A break below $18 is unlikely, but it would result in a significant drop in the silver market.

The chart from March 9th, 2021, which was presented to premium members, has acted, and the price has dropped as a result of the double top towards 18.70. With the monthly bullish key reversal that is more visible in spot charts, a drop to $18.70 generated a buying opportunity. The recent rally, however, is due to the massive support at $18.70, and a weekly close above the mentioned pivots is required to see the major rally to $35 levels. In the silver market, major levels to watch are $23.01 and $25.65. These levels have been discussed with premiums for last few months.

Silver
Silver

How to trade the gold and silver markets?

The gold and silver markets are approaching key inflection points for the year, ensuring some excellent trading opportunities in both markets. One of those opportunities was to buy gold at $1,680 levels, where the risk of loss was very low and the reward was high, with a high probability of success. The trade was entered, and gold prices immediately rose to the target of the trade, where profits of $80/ounce were booked. Gold is currently trading at the first target levels, where the decision is due. These gold levels are extremely risky, and patience is required for short-term traders.

Gold

The silver market, on the other hand, provided an excellent buying opportunity at $18.75. After entering the trade at $18.75, the silver market surged higher, confirming a monthly bullish key reversal on spot silver charts.

XAGUSD

What’s next?

The gold and silver markets have reached the bounce target of $1800-$1833 in spot gold and $20.80-$21.20 in spot silver. To confirm a trend reversal, a weekly close above these levels is required. Aside from these levels, metals must put in a lot of effort to overcome these resistances. A short-term pullback is possible, but a weekly breakout will increase demand in both markets. Further discussion of these markets will be provided in following sections.


Unlock exclusive gold and silver trading signals and updates that most investors don’t see. Join our free newsletter now!

Author

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Muhammad Umair, PhD

Gold Predictors

Muhammad Umair is a financial markets analyst and investor who focuses on the forex and precious metals markets.

More from Muhammad Umair, PhD
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.