|

Global markets on edge as tensions rise in the Middle East

AUD - Australian Dollar

The Australian dollar extended losses on Monday as a risk off mood in global markets was maintained to start the week. Tensions escalated on the weekend between the United States and Iran as the local currency opened at 0.6954 on Monday morning. Overnight lows were seen at 0.6926 despite a slightly higher reading for the AIG manufacturing index and remains in contraction mode.

The Australian dollar opens this morning at 0.6940 ahead of ANZ Job advertisements due for release at 11:30 am AEST. We expect support levels to hold on moves approaching 0.6900, while any upward push will likely meet resistance at 0.6980.

Key Movers

Safe haven assets were the best performers overnight as investors bought back into Gold following escalating tensions in the Middle East. Gold hit a fresh six year high to $1,588 an ounce and the CHF/USD climbed 0.4% higher on the day. The US Dollar Index (DXTY) was 0.25% lower as it struggles to push through the 97.00 barrier.

One of the key movers overnight was the Great British pound rising 0.72% against the greenback as investors will be watching the return of Parliament tomorrow following the festive season break. Sterling will be driven again by Brexit agreement discussions and EU trade talks as it is all but expected that UK’s withdrawal agreements will be signed off by parliament later this month.

Trade Balance and Non-Manufacturing PMI in the United States slated for release this evening is the key agenda items of note.

Expected Ranges

AUD/USD: 0.6900 - 0.6980 ▼

GBP/AUD: 1.8800 - 1.9200 ▲

AUD/NZD: 1.0370 - 1.0440 ▼

AUD/EUR: 0.6170 - 0.6230 ▼

AUD/CAD: 0.8950 - 0.9050 ▼

Author

OzForex Research

OzForex Research

OzForex Foreign Exchange

More from OzForex Research
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1700 post-US ISM

EUR/USD is still struggling to find its balance on Wednesday, lingering below the 1.1700 milestone as neither side of the equation offers much conviction. Weaker Eurozone inflation is weighing on the Euro, while the US Dollar isn’t giving traders much to work despite the unexpected uptick in the US ISM Services PMI in December.

GBP/USD keeps the bearish stance below 1.3500

GBP/USD extends its pullback on Wednesday, slipping back below the 1.3500 mark and building on Tuesday’s retreat. The pair remains on the back foot, with the US Dollar also struggling to find clear direction as investors continue to assess the release of key US data.

Gold holds ground above $4,450

Gold stays on the defensive on Wednesday, trading around $4,440 per troy ounce after snapping a three-day winning streak. The rally appears to have stalled near the $4,500 area, as a modest uptick in the US Dollar following key results from the domestic docket weighs on the precious metal. The move lower in bullion, however, appears somewhat contained by falling US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pause uptrend amid mixed ETF flows, weak sentiment

Bitcoin extends correction below the $93,000 mark at the time of writing on Wednesday, signaling a cooldown from the early-year rally that touched $94,789 on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, are also facing headwinds amid uncertainty in market sentiment.

2026 economic outlook: Clear skies but don’t unfasten your seatbelts yet

Most years fade into the background as soon as a new one starts. Not 2025: a year of epochal shifts, in which the macroeconomy was the dog that did not bark. What to expect in 2026? The shocks of 2025 will not be undone, but neither will they be repeated.

XRP battles selling pressure as profit-taking, ETF inflows shape outlook

Ripple (XRP) is trading downward but holding support at $2.22 at the time of writing on Wednesday, as fear spreads across the cryptocurrency market, reversing gains made from the start of the year.