|

GBP/USD sits on shaky ground after the Brexit delay — Confluence Detector

GBP/USD is off the lows after the European Union decided to grant the UK two more weeks to sort its business out and potentially leave by May 22nd if Parliament approves the accord. This advance places the pound above support, but this support is not that strong.

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that cable has support around 1.3131 which is the convergence of the Simple Moving Average 100-15m, the SMA 10-1h, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week, the SMA 5-4h, and the Bollinger Band 1h-Middle. These are not significant support lines.

If GBP/USD were to fall, the next cushion is at 1.3063 which is the confluence of the BB 1h-Lower, the SMA 50-1d, and the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day. 

More substantial support awaits at 1.3003 where we see the Pivot Point one-day S1, the previous daily low, and the BB one-day converge. 

Looking up, pound/dollar will face considerable resistance at the 1.3214 to 1.3227 region. We see a dense cluster including the BB 4h-Middle, the SMA 200-1h, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, the SMA 100-1h, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, the PP one-day R1, and the SMA 5-one-day.

Further above, 1.3289 is an upside target with the Fibonacci 38.2% standing out.

This is how it looks on the tool:

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. This means that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold posts modest gains above $5,050 as US-Iran tensions persist despite strong labor data

Gold price trades in positive territory near $5,060 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher despite stronger-than-expected US employment data. The release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Friday. 

Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market

Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.