Overview

Watch the video for a summary of this week’s news releases, a review of the USD index, and a complete top down analysis of the GBPUSD. Review my previous GBPUSD analysis here.

 

GBP/USD weekly

Weekly support at 1.3168, resistance at 1.3571 and 1.3602.

Weekly chart is in a downtrend showing lower tops and bottoms. Price has rallied and then reversed at the 79% fib retracement level. Is a further lower top now forming on the weekly chart?

GBPUSD

GBP/USD daily

Daily support at 1.3430, resistance at 1.3598.

Daily chart is in a downtrend showing a lower top and lower bottom. Price has moved back below the 1.3571 and 1.3602 weekly resistance levels.

Looking for price to rally back to the 1.3571 to 1.3602 weekly resistance area. Price rallying back to this area would present an ideal opportunity to sell for the next decline in line with the immediate downtrend.

Looking to sell a rally on the 4 hour chart. Watch the video for a full break down of my analysis on how you could trade this pair to the downside based on the 4 hour chart.

Chart

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The enhanced risk appetite and the weakening of the Greenback enabled AUD/USD to build on the promising start to the week and trade closer to the key barrier at 0.6500 the figure ahead of key inflation figures in Australia.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA

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EUR/USD News

Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness

Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness

Gold reversed its direction and rose to the $2,320 area, erasing a large portion of its daily losses in the process. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the red below 4.6% following the weak US PMI data and supports XAU/USD.

Gold News

Bitcoin price makes run for previous cycle highs as Morgan Stanley pushes BTC ETF exposure

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Bitcoin (BTC) price strength continues to grow, three days after the fourth halving. Optimism continues to abound in the market as Bitcoiners envision a reclamation of previous cycle highs.

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US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization

Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Federal Reserve might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone. 

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