GBP/USD outlook: Cable cracks pivotal 1.2300 resistance zone on strong UK labor data

Slobodan Drvenica Windsor Brokers

GBP/USD

GBPUSD cracked 1.2300 barrier in early European trading on Monday, boosted by better than expected US labor data (Sep wages rose above expectations and employment was significantly up in three months to Sep) which added to hawkish stance on BoE rate outlook.

Cable rises for the third straight day after a bear trap on Friday, with penetration and close within thick daily cloud, contributing to fresh bullish signals, though bulls face headwinds at pivotal 1.2300 resistance zone (round-figure / Fibo 38.2% of 1.2737/1.2037 bear-leg / Nov 11 high).

Clear break here is needed to further strengthen near-term structure and keep in focus key barriers at 1.2428/36 (Nov 6 recovery top / 200DMA).

Strong bullish momentum on daily chart supports the action which needs to hold above broken daily cloud base, reinforced by daily Kijun-sen (1.2249) to keep bullish bias.

Caution on break below daily cloud which would weaken near-term structure and risk test of lower pivot at 1.2186 (last Friday’s spike low).

Markets await release of US Oct inflation report for fresh signals.

Res: 1.2308; 1.2337; 1.2387; 1.2428.
Sup: 1.2249; 1.2202; 1.2186; 1.2095.

Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

1. R3 1.2367
2. R2 1.2324
3. R1 1.23
PP 1.2257
1. S1 1.2233
2. S2 1.219
3. S3 1.2166

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

EUR/USD challenges 1.1800, two-week lows

EUR/USD remains on the defensive, extending its leg lower to the vicinity of the 1.1800 region, or two-week lows, on Tuesday. The move lower comes as the US Dollar gathers further traction ahead of key US data releases, inclusing the FOMC Minutes, on Wednesday.

GBP/USD looks weaker near 1.3500

GBP/USD adds to Monday’s pessimism and puts the 1.3500 support to the test on Tuesday. Cable’s marked pullback comes in response to extra gains in the Greenback while disappointing UK jobs data also collaborate with the offered bias around the British Pound.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP upside looks limited amid deteriorating retail demand

The cryptocurrency market extends weakness with major coins including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) trading in sideways price action at the time of writing on Tuesday.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months.

Ripple slides to $1.45 as downside risks surge

Ripple edges lower at the time of writing on Tuesday, from the daily open of $1.48, as headwinds persist across the crypto market. A short-term support is emerging at $1.45, but a buildup of bearish positions could further weaken the derivatives market and prolong the correction.