|

GBP/USD outlook: Bears crack key supports and look to continue larger downtrend

GBP/USD

Cable extends weakness into the fourth straight day and tested key support at 1.3670 (Mar 25 low / 100DMA) in early European trading on Friday.

Bears emerged from daily cloud (cloud base lays at 1.3712) after trading within thick cloud for two weeks, generating bearish signal for extension of six-week downtrend from 1.4238 (2021 high) which requires confirmation on weekly close below 1.3670 pivot.

Cable is weighed by the issues with AstraZeneca vaccine as the EU imposed certain age restrictions for the vaccine but left to the member countries to decide, with rising violence in the Northern Ireland additionally pressuring pound.

Firm break of 1.3670 would expose next pivotal support at 1.3641 (Fibo 38.2% of 1.2675/1.4238 upleg), violation of which would confirm signal for bearish continuation.

Negative daily studies support the action but oversold stochastic and subsequent bounce after testing 1.3670 support suggest bears may take a breather before resuming.

Broken 10DMA (1.3784) should cap upticks and maintain bearish bias, while extension and close above 20DMA (1.3810) would sideline bears.

Res: 1.3750; 1.3784; 1.3810; 1.3839.
Sup: 1.3700; 1.3670; 1.3641; 1.3609.

GBPUSD

Interested in GBP/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.3834
    2. R2 1.3808
    3. R1 1.377
  1. PP 1.3745
    1. S1 1.3707
    2. S2 1.3681
    3. S3 1.3643

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.