|

GBP/USD nearing support, losing it opens the door to the 2018 lows — Confluence Detector

A new week, month, and quarter begins with the GBP/USD resuming its losses. What levels should we watch out for? 

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the pair is nearing a strong support line at 1.3152. This is the convergence of the potent Fibonacci 23.6% one-month, the Simple Moving Average 10-4h, the Bolinger Band one-hour Lower (Stdv. 2.2), the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, and the BB 1h-Middle.

If the pair loses that critical cushion, the next level to watch is 1.3057 which is the confluence of the one-month low and the one-week low as well as the Bolinger Band one-hour Lower. Before hitting 1.3000, there is one more notable support area at around 1.3020 which is the meeting point of the Pivot Points one-day Support 2 and the one-month Support 1.

On the topside, cable will find it hard to recover. 1.3215 is where the Fibonacci 38.2 one-month, the 4h-high, the one-day high, and the SMA 50=4h converge. There are additional lines of resistance at 1.3200 defending the region. 

Further up, 1.3248 is notable for the Bollinger Band one-hour Upper. Much higher, 1.3317 is the confluence level of the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month, and the SMA 200-4h. 

The pair is trading within a range of many technical levels, but those on the top are stronger than those on the bottom. 

This is how it looks on the tool:

GBP USD Technical confluence July 2 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. This means that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD eases toward 1.3500 on geopolitical tensions, hawkish Fed bets

GBP/USD trades with mild losses below 1.3550 in the European session. The US Dollar recovers some ground amid ongoing Middle East tensions and hawkish expectations around the Fed's interest rate outlook, weighing on the pair ahead of US data releases.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1600 after mixed Eurozone inflation data

EUR/USD struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce and trades below 1.1600 in the European session on Tuesday. The data from the Eurozone showed that the annual HICP inflation rose to 3.3% in August from 2.9% in July, matching the market expectation, while the core HICP inflation edged lower to 2.4% from 2.5% in this period. In the second half of the day, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Manufacturing PMI data will be featured in the US economic calendar.

Gold drops to nearly two-week low, below $4,400 on hawkish Fed bets and firm USD

Gold weakens further below the $4,400 mark, hitting a nearly two-week low during the first half of the European session. Traders ramped up bets for a rate hike in September following Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's remarks last Friday.

Ripple, Cardano, and Dogecoin show weakness – Crucial EMAs in focus

Ripple, Cardano, and Dogecoin remain weak after double-digit losses last week, testing their crucial Exponential Moving Averages for immediate support. The technical outlook warns of further weakness in the prices of XRP, ADA, and DOGE as bullish momentum eases.

US JOLTS Job Openings set to show a steady labor market

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has a busy week, releasing relevant employment data. It will start on Tuesday with the publication of the July Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) at 14:00 GMT. The JOLTS report is expected to show job openings stood at 7.3 million in July.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.