|

GBP/USD Forecast: Waiting for news that doesn’t come

GBP/USD Current Price: 1.2839

  • UK inflation came in below the market’s expectations in October.
  • Conservatives keep leading polls, underpinning hopes for a deal Brexit.
  • GBP/USD unable to attract investors, neutral above 1.2800.

The GBP/USD pair is ending the American session with a second consecutive daily doji around 1.2850. The market keeps ignoring UK data, which, this time, missed the market’s expectations. According to the official release, inflation in the kingdom was down by 0.2% in October, and up by 1.5% when compared to a year earlier, missing the market’s expectations. Core yearly inflation printed at 1.7% as expected and also matching the previous reading. Producer Prices were down by 0.1% in the month, and up by a modest 0.8% yearly basis.

There were no news in the Brexit/UK elections front, although the market remains confident the kingdom will avoid a hard-landing. Johnson’s Conservatives keep leading polls, and their victory will likely mean the Withdrawal Agreement will pass the Parliament. The UK will report October Retail Sales this Thursday, seen up by 0.2% in the month and by 3.7% when compared to October 2018.

GBP/USD short-term technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair is neutral-to-bearish, holding just above the 23.6% retracement of its latest daily run. In the 4 hours chart, the pair continues hovering between the 20 and 100 SMA, while the 200 SMA continues advancing below the current level. The RSI indicator, however, heads nowhere around its midline, while the Momentum indicator turned south, entering negative territory, rather indicating absent buying interest that increased selling pressure.

Support levels: 1.2820 1.2785 1.2750

Resistance levels: 1.2895 1.2920 1.2950

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold posts modest gains above $5,050 as US-Iran tensions persist despite strong labor data

Gold price trades in positive territory near $5,060 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher despite stronger-than-expected US employment data. The release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Friday. 

Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market

Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.