|

GBP/USD Elliott Wave analysis [Video]

GBP/USD Elliott Wave analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Gray Wave 3.

Position: Orange Wave 5.

Next higher degree direction: Gray Wave 3 (Active)

Details: Gray Wave 2 is likely complete. Gray Wave 3 is now in progress.

Wave cancel invalidation level: 1.33486

The Elliott Wave analysis for GBPUSD on the daily chart indicates a bullish market setup. The pair is displaying impulsive behavior, pointing to strong upward momentum. The current wave count marks Gray Wave 3 within Orange Wave 5, suggesting a dynamic segment of the bullish structure where third waves are known for powerful price action.

Gray Wave 2 appears to have completed its corrective phase, giving way to Gray Wave 3. This segment usually carries extended upward moves with minimal pullbacks. As Gray Wave 3 unfolds within the broader Orange Wave 5, traders can expect potential sustained gains.

The critical level to watch is 1.33486. Any move below this level would invalidate the current wave count and require a revised interpretation. As long as this level holds, the outlook remains upward.

Technical indicators support the view of institutional buying, with the ongoing wave expected to drive notable gains as part of the bullish cycle.

Chart

GBP/USD Elliott Wave analysis

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Corrective.

Structure: Micro Navy Blue Wave 2.

Position: Gray Wave 3.

Next higher degree direction: Micro Navy Blue Wave 3.

Details: Micro Navy Blue Wave 1 seems complete. Micro Navy Blue Wave 2 is underway.

Wave cancel invalidation level: 1.33486.

On the 4-hour chart, GBPUSD is in a counter-trend phase. The pair is undergoing a corrective move represented by Micro Navy Blue Wave 2 within the broader Gray Wave 3. This indicates a temporary pullback as part of a larger bullish trend.

Micro Navy Blue Wave 1 appears to have ended, and the market is currently forming Micro Navy Blue Wave 2. This corrective stage is expected to retrace some of Wave 1’s gains. Once complete, Micro Navy Blue Wave 3 may begin, potentially resuming the dominant bullish direction.

The corrective structure implies range-bound trading or modest declines in the short term. Still, the overall Gray Wave 3 positioning signals continued upward potential after this brief pullback concludes.

Traders should watch for signs that Micro Navy Blue Wave 2 is ending, as this will likely signal the beginning of a new upward move in Micro Navy Blue Wave 3.

Chart

GBP/USD Elliott Wave analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.