|

GBP/USD Elliott Wave analysis [Video]

GBP/USD Elliott Wave analysis

Function: Bullish Trend.

Mode: Impulsive.

Structure: Gray Wave 3.

Position: Orange Wave 5.

Next higher degree direction: Gray Wave 3 (Active)

Details: Gray Wave 2 is likely complete. Gray Wave 3 is now in progress.

Wave cancel invalidation level: 1.33486

The Elliott Wave analysis for GBPUSD on the daily chart indicates a bullish market setup. The pair is displaying impulsive behavior, pointing to strong upward momentum. The current wave count marks Gray Wave 3 within Orange Wave 5, suggesting a dynamic segment of the bullish structure where third waves are known for powerful price action.

Gray Wave 2 appears to have completed its corrective phase, giving way to Gray Wave 3. This segment usually carries extended upward moves with minimal pullbacks. As Gray Wave 3 unfolds within the broader Orange Wave 5, traders can expect potential sustained gains.

The critical level to watch is 1.33486. Any move below this level would invalidate the current wave count and require a revised interpretation. As long as this level holds, the outlook remains upward.

Technical indicators support the view of institutional buying, with the ongoing wave expected to drive notable gains as part of the bullish cycle.

Chart

GBP/USD Elliott Wave analysis

Function: Counter Trend.

Mode: Corrective.

Structure: Micro Navy Blue Wave 2.

Position: Gray Wave 3.

Next higher degree direction: Micro Navy Blue Wave 3.

Details: Micro Navy Blue Wave 1 seems complete. Micro Navy Blue Wave 2 is underway.

Wave cancel invalidation level: 1.33486.

On the 4-hour chart, GBPUSD is in a counter-trend phase. The pair is undergoing a corrective move represented by Micro Navy Blue Wave 2 within the broader Gray Wave 3. This indicates a temporary pullback as part of a larger bullish trend.

Micro Navy Blue Wave 1 appears to have ended, and the market is currently forming Micro Navy Blue Wave 2. This corrective stage is expected to retrace some of Wave 1’s gains. Once complete, Micro Navy Blue Wave 3 may begin, potentially resuming the dominant bullish direction.

The corrective structure implies range-bound trading or modest declines in the short term. Still, the overall Gray Wave 3 positioning signals continued upward potential after this brief pullback concludes.

Traders should watch for signs that Micro Navy Blue Wave 2 is ending, as this will likely signal the beginning of a new upward move in Micro Navy Blue Wave 3.

Chart

GBP/USD Elliott Wave analysis [Video]

Author

Peter Mathers

Peter Mathers

TradingLounge

Peter Mathers started actively trading in 1982. He began his career at Hoei and Shoin, a Japanese futures trading company.

More from Peter Mathers
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD pulls back from monthly high but holds above 0.7000

AUD/USD retreats from the monthly high set earlier this Thursday, sliding back to 0.7000 during the Asian session as a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, recent hawkish comments from RBA officials could support the Australian Dollar. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar selling bias, despite Fed hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties, could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold sinks to over two-month low as higher-for-longer interest rate expectations weigh

Gold (XAU/USD) slips below $4,100 on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) rebounds, while energy-driven inflation concerns from Middle East tensions reinforce expectations that interest rates will remain elevated longer.

The estimates keep falling: Why Bitcoin's quantum countdown is accelerating

The threat that Artificial Intelligence (AI) and quantum computing pose to Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrencies in general is no longer a matter of if hardware will catch up; it is a matter of when.

3 Gold forecasts at $4,100: A bullish Arc rejection, a bearish Fed setup and a festival tiebreaker

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $4,100, and the three latest analyses cannot agree on what the level means: one sees the bounce from support as confirmation of a potential push toward $4,227, another argues every rally is vulnerable while price sits under its 20-day EMA, and the third points to India's Diwali buying season as the physical test about to meet the market.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.