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GBP/USD continues to navigate deeper waters

For those who read the previous technical view I posted on the GBP/USD currency pair, price action has indeed continued to pursue lower levels.

Short-term price action sub $1.24

Despite efforts to shape support from the $1.24 region, recent hours witnessed price elbow beneath the psychological level. This followed a near-pip-perfect H1 AB=CD harmonic bearish formation taking form at $1.2467 (denoted by a 100% projection ratio), a base that was bolstered by a H1 trendline support-turned-resistance taken from the low $1.2392. Downside support can be seen nearby at $1.2356, with a break paving the way for follow-through selling towards $1.23.

View from higher timeframes show scope for further downside

The bigger picture continues to put forth a bearish bias. The weekly timeframe recently tested a major long-term trendline resistance drawn from the high of $1.4250, placing weekly support at $1.1851 in view as a potential long-term support target.

Aiding the weekly timeframe’s resistance, an additional layer of resistance made its way into the frame at $1.2638 on the daily chart in mid-May. This has positioned daily support at $1.2272 on the radar and pulled the Relative Strength Index (RSI) south of the 50.00 centreline towards indicator support at 37.78.

GBP/USD direction

Given the scope to post additional underperformance, GBP/USD is likely to cross beneath H1 support from $1.2356 and target $1.23, followed by daily support mentioned above at $1.2272. A H1 close lower, therefore, could ignite breakout selling.

Chart

Author

Aaron Hill

Aaron Hill

FP Markets

After completing his Bachelor’s degree in English and Creative Writing in the UK, and subsequently spending a handful of years teaching English as a foreign language teacher around Asia, Aaron was introduced to financial trading,

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