|

GBP/USD analysis: little changed, still at risk of falling

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2983

  • UK PM May repeated that a no-deal is an unwanted outcome, but that Britain is prepared for it.
  • UK September Markit Services PMI resulted at 53.4, missing expectations of 54.0.

The GBP/USD pair seesawed between gains and losses but was unable to move far from the 1.3000 level this Wednesday, settling at the end of the day a handful of pips below it. The Sterling came under selling pressure early London session, as the UK September Markit Services PMI resulted at 53.4, below the previous 54.3 and also missing expectations of 54.0. PM May offered a speech in the final day of the Conservative Party annual conference but didn't said much new: she stuck to the Chequers' plan, repeating that a no-deal Brexit will be a bad outcome for both parts, but also that they are ready to leave with a no-deal rather than break up the country. There are no macroeconomic events scheduled in the UK for this Thursday.

As for the technical perspective, the pair retains the bearish tone, as the intraday attempts to regain the upside were contained by a bearish 20 SMA which maintains its bearish slope below a directionless 200 EMA, this last around 1.3035, with the risk skewed to the downside as long as below this last. Technical indicators in the mentioned chart remain in negative territory with modest downward slopes, lacking enough directional strength to confirm additional slides ahead. A slide through the daily low should favor a downward extension aimed to 1.2880, the 61.8% retracement of the 2016/18 rally.   

Support levels: 1.2960 1.2920 1.2880                                                

Resistance levels: 1.3035 1.3065 1.3100

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold: Will US CPI inflation revive the uptrend?
Gold is hanging close to one-week lows near $4,310 early Friday, nursing heavy losses after the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data release and the recent upsurge in Oil prices. Gold is looking to recover a part of the previous heavy losses as traders resort to repositioning ahead of the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report.
Ethereum holds above $2,400 as PPI data strengthens rate hike expectations
Ethereum (ETH) is down 0.7% on Thursday as the second-largest cryptocurrency looks to recover from earlier pressure following the release of stronger US inflation data. The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose 0.4% in August, matching market expectations after a revised 0.1% increase in July, according to the US Labor Department.
Dollar comeback case 'a decent one' – September Fed hike 'back in play'
The dollar was left nursing heavy losses against most of its major peers after last month’s Treasury buyback wobble. Notwithstanding this, we think that the case for a near-term bounce in the greenback is a decent one. Warsh's hawkish pivot at Jackson Hole, followed by what was a blowout US payrolls report for August, has put a September rate hike from the Fed back in play.
Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.