|

GBP/USD analysis: holding higher ground on Brexit hopes

GBP/USD Current price: 1.3055

  • UK PM's May and EU's Juncker agreed that talks have been "constructive."
  • Sterling demand to keep the pair up as long as hopes for a deal Brexit prevail.

The GBP/USD pair hit 1.3108 on a combination of a weaker dollar and encouraging headlines related to Brexit. The Spanish Foreign Minister, Josep Borrell said that a Brexit accord was "being hammered out now," adding that it can be interpreted or complemented with explanations that may be satisfactory for the UK Parliament. Nevertheless, EU´s officials kept repeating that there is no room for reopening the deal.  UK's PM May met EU's Juncker, in an attempt to revamp the withdrawal deal before submitting it again to the House of Commons next week. Both leaders agreed that talks have been constructive, urging their respective teams to continue to explore options "in a positive spirit." They agreed to talk again before the end of the month. Good intentions, no material solution, as usual.  The UK has a quiet macroeconomic calendar this Thursday, with only BOE's Haldane scheduled to speak.

The pair trimmed daily gains as the USD strengthened with FOMC's Minutes, holding a couple of pips above a major Fibonacci level, the 61.8% retracement of the 1.3217/1.2772 decline at 1.3050. In the 4 hours chart, technical indicators are retreating from overbought levels, far from indicating a bearish downturn. The 20 SMA in the mentioned chart maintains a strong upward slope after crossing above the 200 EMA, both well below the current level, keeping the risk skewed to the upside.  

Support levels: 1.3050 1.3010 1.2970                                               

Resistance levels: 1.3090 1.3140 1.3185

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm above 1.1900 as US NFP looms

EUR/USD holds its upbeat momentum above 1.1900 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, helped by a broadly weaker US Dollar. Markets could turn cautious later in the day as the delayed US employment report for January will takes center stage. 

GBP/USD remains above nine-day EMA near 1.3650

GBP/USD recovers its recent losses from the previous session, trading around 1.3680 during the European hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a sustained bullish bias, as the pair trades within an ascending channel pattern.

Gold sticks to gains near $5,050 as focus shifts to US NFP

Gold holds moderate gains near the $5,050 level in the European session on Wednesday, reversing a part of the previous day's modest losses amid dovish US Federal Reserve-inspired US Dollar weakness. This, in turn, is seen as a key factor acting as a tailwind for the non-yielding yellow metal ahead of the critical US NFP release. 

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show modest job gains in January

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls data for January on Wednesday at 13:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 70K following the 50K increase recorded in December.

S&P 500 at 7,000 is a valuation test, not a liquidity problem

The rebound from last week’s drawdown never quite shook the sense that it was being supported by borrowed conviction. The S&P 500 once again tested near the 7,000 level (6,986 as the high watermark) and failed, despite a macro backdrop that would normally be interpreted as supportive of risk.

Bitcoin price slips below $67,000 ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls data

Bitcoin price extends losses, and trades below the lower consolidating boundary at $67,300 at the time of writing. A firm close below this level could trigger a deeper correction for BTC. Despite the weakness in price action, institutional demand shows signs of support, recording mild inflows in ETFs so far this week.