GBP/USD analysis: dollar resumes advance

Valeria Bednarik FXStreet

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2810

UK budget presentation failed to motivate Pound's bulls.
Dollar stronger as risk-off returns in the US afternoon.

The GBP/USD pair spent most of this first day of the week holding above 1.2800 ending the day marginally lower in the 1.2800 price zone. The most relevant event of the day was UK's Chancellor Phillip Hammond presenting the kingdom's budget. Among his opening remarks, he said "the era of austerity is over," among other encouraging statements that clearly failed to motive Pound's bulls, more concerned these days about the effects of Brexit on the UK economy, and Hammond words over the weekend, claiming that a no-deal Brexit will need adjustment to this budget. Growth forecast was revised slightly higher and the expected deficit lower. Minor data from the UK showed that Consumer Credit in the UK rose by less-than-expected in September, up by £0.785B, while Mortgage Approvals in the same month were up by 65.269K, better than the 65.000K forecasted. On Tuesday, the UK will release the CBI Realized Trades Survey for October.

Meanwhile, the pair remains near the multi-month low of 1.2776 hit last week, and technically bearish according to intraday technical readings, as the pair is below a strongly bearish 20 SMA, which capped an early attempt to advance and is currently around 1.2840, while technical indicators turned south, the Momentum accelerating to fresh daily lows and the RSI currently at 28, in line with further slides ahead particularly on a break below 1.2775.

Support levels: 1.2775 1.2740 1.2700

Resistance levels:1.2850 1.2880 1.2925

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

FXStreet

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

EUR/USD: US Dollar to remain pressured until uncertainty fog dissipates

Unimpressive European Central Bank left monetary policy unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting. The United States first-tier employment and inflation data is scheduled for the second week of February. EUR/USD battles to remain afloat above 1.1800, sellers moving to the sidelines.

GBP/USD reclaims 1.3600 and above

GBP/USD reverses two straight days of losses, surpassing the key 1.3600 yardstick on Friday. Cable’s rebound comes as the Greenback slips away from two-week highs in response to some profit-taking mood and speculation of Fed rate cuts. In addition, hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill are also collaborating with the quid’s improvement.

Gold: Volatility persists in commodity space

After losing more than 8% to end the previous week, Gold remained under heavy selling pressure on Monday and dropped toward $4,400. Although XAU/USD staged a decisive rebound afterward, it failed to stabilize above $5,000. The US economic calendar will feature Nonfarm Payrolls and Consumer Price Index data for January, which could influence the market pricing of the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact Gold’s performance.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI data to shake Fed cut bets, Japan election looms

US NFP and CPI data awaited after Warsh’s nomination as Fed chief. Yen traders lock gaze on Sunday’s snap election. UK and Eurozone Q4 GDP data also on the agenda. China CPI and PPI could reveal more weakness in domestic demand.

Three scenarios for Japanese Yen ahead of snap election

The latest polls point to a dominant win for the ruling bloc at the upcoming Japanese snap election. The larger Sanae Takaichi’s mandate, the more investors fear faster implementation of tax cuts and spending plans.

XRP rally extends as modest ETF inflows support recovery

Ripple is accelerating its recovery, trading above $1.36 at the time of writing on Friday, as investors adjust their positions following a turbulent week in the broader crypto market. The remittance token is up over 21% from its intraday low of $1.12.