|

GBP/USD analysis: dollar resumes advance

GBP/USD Current price: 1.2810

  • UK budget presentation failed to motivate Pound's bulls.
  • Dollar stronger as risk-off returns in the US afternoon.

The GBP/USD pair spent most of this first day of the week holding above 1.2800 ending the day marginally lower in the 1.2800 price zone. The most relevant event of the day was UK's Chancellor Phillip Hammond presenting the kingdom's budget. Among his opening remarks, he said "the era of austerity is over," among other encouraging statements that clearly failed to motive Pound's bulls, more concerned these days about the effects of Brexit on the UK economy, and Hammond words over the weekend, claiming that a no-deal Brexit will need adjustment to this budget. Growth forecast was revised slightly higher and the expected deficit lower. Minor data from the UK showed that  Consumer Credit in the UK rose by less-than-expected in September, up by £0.785B, while Mortgage Approvals in the same month were up by 65.269K, better than the 65.000K forecasted. On Tuesday, the UK will release the CBI Realized Trades Survey for October.

Meanwhile, the pair remains near the multi-month low of 1.2776 hit last week, and technically bearish according to intraday technical readings, as the pair is below a strongly bearish 20 SMA, which capped an early attempt to advance and is currently around 1.2840, while technical indicators turned south, the Momentum accelerating to fresh daily lows and the RSI currently at 28, in line with further slides ahead particularly on a break below 1.2775.

Support levels: 1.2775 1.2740 1.2700

Resistance levels:1.2850 1.2880 1.2925

View Live Chart for the GBP/USD

Author

Valeria Bednarik

Valeria Bednarik was born and lives in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Her passion for math and numbers pushed her into studying economics in her younger years.

More from Valeria Bednarik
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surrenders some gains, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD holds on to moderate gains above 1.3400 the figure on Friday. Optimism surrounding the UK government’s leadership transition and expectations of further BoE tightening support the British Pound, while easing tensions in the Middle East and fading Fed rate-hike expectations weigh on the US Dollar.

EUR/USD turns positive, targets 1.1450

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances toward the 1.1440 region on Friday, up modestly for the day. With no major economic data due, lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict keeps investors cautious, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold remains offered, still below $4,100

Gold struggles to extend Thursday’s rebound and navigates below the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal’s upside, which is also under pressure amid rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.