|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Pound is looking for direction around  213.00 

  • GBP/JPY rebound from 210.30 has been capped at 213.40.
  • The Pound lost steam following mixed UK employment figures.
  • The Japanese Yen remains under pressure following PM Takaichi's decision to call elections.


The Pound pulled back from session highs at the 213.50 area against the Japanese Yen on Tuesday, following mixed UK employment figures. Still, downside attempts remain contained above 212.30, leaving the pair in no man’s land.

Net employment increased by 82K in the UK in the three months to December, following a 17K contraction in November. Wage growth remained at strong levels while claimants for unemployment benefits grew less than expected. On the negative side, the jobless rate remained steady at 5.1% against market expectations of a slight decline to 5%.

The pair, however, remains supported by Yen weakness, amid growing fiscal concerns following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s decision to call snap elections as well as her plans to suspend the 8% food tax for two years.

Technical Analysis: Potential Head and Shoulders formation in progress

Chart Analysis GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY trades at 212.75. The Bullish engulfing candle printed in the daily chat on Monday suggests a strong support in the 210.30 area, but the pair's rejection at 213.50 might print the right shoulder of a H&S formation, a bearish sign.

Technical indicators are positive. The 4-Hour Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line stands above the Signal line and slightly above zero, with a widening positive histogram that suggests strengthening bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, but is pulling down from higher levels.

Bulls would have to breach session highs at 213.40 to clear the path towards the long-term highs at 214.30. On the downside, key support is at the 210.30 area, the late December and early January lows, and the neckline of the mentioned H&S. Further down, the December 10 lows, near 208.90 w

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.73%-0.35%-0.19%-0.32%-0.25%-0.75%-1.03%
EUR0.73%0.38%0.54%0.42%0.49%-0.02%-0.29%
GBP0.35%-0.38%0.17%0.04%0.11%-0.39%-0.67%
JPY0.19%-0.54%-0.17%-0.12%-0.06%-0.56%-0.83%
CAD0.32%-0.42%-0.04%0.12%0.07%-0.44%-0.71%
AUD0.25%-0.49%-0.11%0.06%-0.07%-0.50%-0.76%
NZD0.75%0.02%0.39%0.56%0.44%0.50%-0.28%
CHF1.03%0.29%0.67%0.83%0.71%0.76%0.28%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200 after hot Chinese CPI data

AUD/USD is extending its consolidative price action above 0.7200 during the Asian session on Wednesday, uninspired by hot Chinese CPI and PPI data. Meanwhile, rising RBA rate-hike bets act as a tailwind for the Aussie amid Yen-inspired US Dollar weakness. Traders await the release of US inflation figures later in the week for fresh impetus.

USD/JPY stays weak near 153.50 amid aggressive BoJ hike bets



USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers in the Asian session on Wednesday as the strong Reuters Tankan business survey adds to the case for continued BoJ policy normalisation and boosts the Japanese Yen. This, along with a broadly weaker US Dollar, keeps the pair close to a nearly seven-month low set on Tuesday.

Gold rebounds from $4,350; will it last?

Gold is rebounding from a one-week low near $4,350 in the Asian session on Wednesday. The US Dollar, however, struggles to lure buyers amid a rallying Yen, supporting the commodity as traders await the key US inflation data for a fresh impetus. However, the rebound could be short-lived amid expectations of a Fed rate hike this month.

Inflation risks keep interest rates high
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East and resulting disruptions in the energy markets are driving up inflation expectations and keeping upward pressure on bond yields high. In the Eurozone, heightened inflation risks and robust growth in economic demand point to another ECB rate hike to 2.5% in September.
Gold and stocks: What eight midterm elections did
I went back through every midterm election since 1994 and asked one question of each: when did the stock market make its low for the year, before the vote or after it? In seven of the eight cycles, the low came before the election. In six of the eight, it came between mid-June and mid-October, which is to say in the exact window that the "they won't let it fall" argument says is protected.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.