Euro sinks as investors position themselves for higher European tariffs, security risks and reshoring

The euro was the worst performing currency in the G10 on election night. The common currency quickly sank towards the 1.07 level as it became increasingly clear that Trump had once again outperformed the polls, although it has managed to find somewhat of a foothold around the 1.075 level.

Investors are positioning themselves for higher European tariffs on the one hand and increased European security risks and reshoring on the other.

As mentioned, we think that the sell-off in risk assets was somewhat smaller than many had feared - Goldman Sachs had flirted with the idea of parity in EUR/USD under a GOP clean sweep.

But we still have a while to go until Trump takes office, and any communications from the president-elect between now and then, particularly one that doubles down on his tariff plans, could see some fresh downside in the common currency.