|

EUR/USD: Without direction the pair remains near to 1.1150 level as no big bets on the table

The single European currency is trading near 1,1150 level at the opening of the new week in an extremely tight trading range as investors continue to avoid taking big bets.

The dust from the Fed's aggressive move to cut interest rates by 50 basis points last week appears to have settled with the European currency currently struggling to benefit from the narrowing interest rate gap between the euro and the dollar.

The interest rate cut cycle that has begun monopolizes the interest of investors as the next moves by the two central banks will largely determine the course of the exchange rate.

At the same time, the sluggish growth of the European economy currently remains one of the main weights in the effort of the European currency to move to significantly higher prices.

The economic data that will be announced in the near future on the path of inflation, growth and the labor sector are expected to give clearer signals about the intentions of the Fed and ECB regarding the next moves until the end of the year.

Starting with today's agenda which include surveys of manufacturing and services sectors in United States and eurozone which are harbingers of growth rates.

Last week although stormy with economic news culminating in the Fed meeting failed to give any direction to the exchange rate which confirms that the pair is extremely heavy and we are unlikely to see any major surprises at the moment with prices moving far away from current levels.

I maintain my thoughts of buying the US currency at some new sharp peak well above 1,12 level without moving away from the assessment of the wider range of possible variation between 1,08 and 1,14 by the end of the year.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD shifts its attention to 1.1900 and above

EUR/USD has shaken off Tuesday’s dip, pushing back beyond the 1.1800 mark amid decent gains as  Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The rebound is largely driven by a modest pullback in the US Dollar, as markets digest the aftermath of President Trump’s SOTU speech and continue to monitor trade-related headlines and signals from the White House.
 

GBP/USD challenges multi-day highs near 1.3530

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a modest decline in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-linked space. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants after Presidet Trump’s SOTU speech failed to surprise markets.

Gold remains bid and close to $5,200

Gold buyers are returning to the fold on Wednesday, targeting the $5,200 area and possibly beyond, after Tuesday’s corrective dip from monthly highs. The rebound in the precious metal comes as the US Dollar loses traction, with Trump’s SOTU speech offering little fresh direction and AI-related nerves continuing to ease.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom (UK) is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia earnings to influence AI trade and broader market sentiment

For the last three years, Nvidia has been the engine of the AI boom, and now Wall Street is watching to see whether that momentum can keep going. High-growth stocks have been struggling to maintain their bullish trend in 2026.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.