|

EUR/USD selloff gathers steam — Can bulls find a lifeline?

Key highlights

  • EUR/USD failed to stay above 1.1500 and extended losses.
  • A bearish trend line is forming with resistance at 1.1425 on the 4-hour chart.

EUR/USD technical analysis

Looking at the 4-hour chart, the pair settled below 1.1450, the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour), and the 200 simple moving average (green, 4-hour). The bears even pushed the pair below 1.1380. A low was formed at 1.1359, and the pair started a consolidation phase.

On the upside, immediate resistance could be 1.1420. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1425. The trend line is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1654 swing high to the 1.1359 low.

A close above the 1.14250 resistance could spark a recovery wave. The next major hurdle might be 1.1455. The main resistance could be 1.1500 and the 100 simple moving average (red, 4-hour).

A close above 1.1500 could start another steady increase. In the stated case, the bulls could aim for a move to 1.1550. If the pair stays below 1.1450, there could be a fresh decline toward the 1.1360 zone. The first major support might be 1.1320. A close below 1.1320 might accelerate the decline. In the stated case, the bears could aim for a move to 1.1240.

Author

Aayush Jindal

I have spent over six years as a financial markets contributor and observer, and possess strong technical analytical skills. I am a software engineer by profession, loves blogging and observing financial markets.

More from Aayush Jindal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD defends 0.7000 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD is defending 0.7000 at the start of a new week, trading near its lowest level since August 4 amid a bullish US Dollar. US yields hold near multi-year highs amid inflation risks from higher oil prices and rising bets on an October Fed rate hike. This, along with the US-Iran standoff, continues to underpin the safe-haven buck and weigh on the pair ahead of Tuesday's RBA policy announcements.

USD/JPY climbs back toward 158.00 after BoJ minutes amid firm USD

USD/JPY finds dip-buyers and reverses part of Friday's slide driven by speculation that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish Minutes cap the JPY. Meanwhile, the US Dollar regains traction as the US-Iran standoff supports crude oil prices, fueling inflation fears and reaffirming bets for an October Fed rate hike. This further supports the pair, driving it back toward 158.00.

Gold cracks $4,200 for the first time in eight weeks

Gold falls hard at the start of a new week, breaching $4,200 for the first time in eight weeks. Firming October Fed rate-hike bets, along with oil-driven inflation risks, keep US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs, helping the US Dollar regain positive traction amid persistent Iran risks. These factors weigh heavily on the bullion.

Bitcoin takes a breather, Ethereum faces pullback, XRP consolidates 
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) take a breather at the start of the week on Monday after their recent gains last week. BTC pulls back, trading below $83,600 while ETH extends its losses, trading below $2,700, and XRP consolidates around $1.500. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests a mild pullback or consolidation as traders assess their next direction.
After the Trump Xi summit, markets are trading three clocks
The summit delivered time, not a deal. Trade, oil and chips now each run to a date, and the macro backdrop matters more than the pageantry. Markets wanted a deal and got a calendar date instead. Xi Jinping left Washington on Friday after tea at the White House and a tour of the National Archives.
Fed vs BoJ: Both hiked. The market only believes one of them – and the chart shows which

The Fed and the BoJ have just done something remarkably similar. Both central banks raised interest rates by 25 bps last week, both are confronting inflation risks, and both signal that future decisions will depend on incoming economic data.