|

EUR/USD outlook: Correction was so far limited but risk of deeper pullback still exists

EUR/USD

EURUSD edges higher in European trading on Monday as bears are taking a breather after a two-day pullback from a multi-week high (1.0948).

Rising 10DMA and Fibo 23.6% of 1.0666/1.0948 (1.0881) contained dips for now, signaling a scenario of shallow correction before larger bulls regain control.

Talks about possible start of easing monetary policy as early as September add to positive outlook for the single currency, as daily studies keep strong positive momentum and MA’s remain in bullish setup.

However, weekly bull trap above 1.0933 Fibo barrier and weekly Doji candle with long upper shadow, warn that bulls might be running out of steam and deeper pullback cannot be ruled out.

Sustained break of 10 DMA / Fibo support to activate such scenario and expose next supports at 1.0840/07 (Fibo 38.2% / 50% / 200DMA).

Conversely, ability to hold above 1.0881support would keep near-term bias with bulls, with extension and close above 1.09 zone to generate initial signal of reversal and formation of a higher low.

Res: 1.0902; 1.0922; 1.0948; 1.0964.
Sup: 1.0881; 1.0840; 1.0807; 1.0788.

EURUSD

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.0924
    2. R2 1.0913
    3. R1 1.0898
  1. PP 1.0887
    1. S1 1.0872
    2. S2 1.0861
    3. S3 1.0846

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers recovery momentum, trades near 1.1750

Following the correction seen in the second half of the previous week, EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades in positive territory near 1.1750. The US Dollar (USD) struggles to attract buyers and supports the pair as investors await Tuesday's GDP data ahead of the Christmas holiday. 

GBP/USD rises toward 1.3450 on renewed USD weakness

GBP/USD turns north on Monday and avances to the 1.3450 region. The US Dollar (USD) stays on the back foot to begin the new week as investors adjust their positions before tomorrow's third-quarter growth data, helping the pair stretch higher.

Gold not done with record highs

Gold extends its rally in the American session on Monday and trades at a new all-time-high above $4,420, gaining nearly 2% on a daily basis. The potential for a re-escalation of the tensions in the Middle East on news of Israel planning to attack Iran allows Gold to capitalize on safe-haven flows.

Top 10 crypto predictions for 2026: Institutional demand and big banks could lift Bitcoin

Bitcoin could hit record highs in 2026, according to Grayscale and top crypto asset managers. Institutional demand and digital-asset treasury companies set to catalyze gains in Bitcoin.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.