|

EUR/USD outlook: Bullish bias above daily cloud

EUR/USD

EURUSD opened with gap-lower on Monday but dip was short-lived and larger bulls regained control and pushed the price towards last Friday’s new multi-week high (1.0842).

Today’s dip was contained by psychological 1.0800 support (also the top of rising hourly cloud) with subsequent move higher emerging above the top of daily Ichimoku cloud after a shallow penetration.

Near-term bias is expected to remain with bulls as long as the price holds above daily cloud, with repeated daily close above broken Fibo level at 1.0820 (61.8% of 1.0915/1.0666) to reinforce positive near-term outlook.

Last week’s almost 0.9% advance also contributes to developing signals, as daily studies are bullish however, overbought conditions may obstruct bulls and keep the price in prolonged consolidation.

On the other hand, fundamentals are not so bright, as recent economic data showed that performance in bloc’s core industrial sector is still slow (particularly in Germany (EU’s largest economy) which may prompt the ECB to cut rates sooner or more than expected, which would be a negative signal for euro.

Res: 1.0842; 1.0856; 1.0900; 1.0919.
Sup: 1.0820; 1.0800; 1.0777; 1.0756.

Chart

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.0896
    2. R2 1.0869
    3. R1 1.0854
  1. PP 1.0828
    1. S1 1.0813
    2. S2 1.0786
    3. S3 1.0771

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Gains remain capped below 1.1800

EUR/USD consolidates its upside below 1.1800 in the European trading hours on Monday. The pair trades listlessly amid a tepid market mood, despite a broadly subdued US Dollar. Mid-tier US Pending Home Sales are next in focus. 

GBP/USD softens below 1.3500 but retains positive technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair loses momentum near 1.3485 during the early European session on Monday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. The potential downside for a major pair might be limited, as the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path.

Gold pulls back from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 during the early European trading hours on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. A renewed US Dollar could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers, pressuring prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.