|

EUR/USD outlook: Break 1.0800 support but bears may take a breather on oversold conditions

EUR/USD

EURUSD dipped below psychological 1.08 support and hit new multi-week low in early Wednesday.

Larger bears remain firmly in play and reinforced by the most recent formation of 10/200DMA death cross, with daily close below 1.08 to reinforce bearish stance.

However, oversold RSI and 14-d momentum in sideways mode suggest that the downtrend may be running out of steam.

Bears approached support at 1.0777 (Aug 1 higher low) and eye another significant point at 1.0745 (Fibo 76.4% of 1.0601/1.1214 uptrend) where fresh headwinds could be expected.

Upticks are likely to be limited and provide better selling opportunities, with broken Fibo 61.8% (1.0835) to ideally cap and potential extended upticks to stay below 200DMA (1.0870, also Oct 17/21 lower platform) to keep larger bears intact.

Break of 1.0745 pivot to open way for test of 1.0670 zone (June higher base) and unmask key med-term support at 1.0601 (2024 low, posted on Apr 16).

Res: 1.0800; 1.0835; 1.0870; 1.0907.
Sup: 1.0777; 1.0745; 1.0700; 1.0676.

Chart

Interested in EUR/USD technicals? Check out the key levels

    1. R3 1.0874
    2. R2 1.0856
    3. R1 1.0829
  1. PP 1.0811
    1. S1 1.0783
    2. S2 1.0765
    3. S3 1.0738

Author

Slobodan Drvenica

Slobodan Drvenica

Windsor Brokers

Industry veteran with over 22 years’ experience, Slobodan Drvenica joined Windsor Brokers in 1995 when he was an active trader for more than 10 years, managing the trading desk and own account departments.

More from Slobodan Drvenica
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD shifts its attention to 1.1900 and above

EUR/USD has shaken off Tuesday’s dip, pushing back beyond the 1.1800 mark amid decent gains as  Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The rebound is largely driven by a modest pullback in the US Dollar, as markets digest the aftermath of President Trump’s SOTU speech and continue to monitor trade-related headlines and signals from the White House.
 

GBP/USD challenges multi-day highs near 1.3530

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a modest decline in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-linked space. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants after Presidet Trump’s SOTU speech failed to surprise markets.

Gold remains bid and close to $5,200

Gold buyers are returning to the fold on Wednesday, targeting the $5,200 area and possibly beyond, after Tuesday’s corrective dip from monthly highs. The rebound in the precious metal comes as the US Dollar loses traction, with Trump’s SOTU speech offering little fresh direction and AI-related nerves continuing to ease.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the United Kingdom (UK) is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia earnings to influence AI trade and broader market sentiment

For the last three years, Nvidia has been the engine of the AI boom, and now Wall Street is watching to see whether that momentum can keep going. High-growth stocks have been struggling to maintain their bullish trend in 2026.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.