|

EUR/USD: Nothing new on the table, latest FOMC Minutes could give some direction

The exchange rate remains in a narrow trading range near the 1,0850 levels for one more day as investors remain extremely wary of taking big bets.

After the European currency peaked near the 1,09 levels a week earlier the bullish momentum has been challenged but with no sign of a change in trend for now.

And yesterday did not provide any excitement with the pair remaining in a fluctuation range of only 30 points as the poor agenda and the statements of Fed officials which brought nothing new to the table couldn't  fuel bigger volatility.

Τhe overall market's picture shows no major differences with bets on the prospects for a rates cut by Ecb and Fed remain unchanged in recent days.

Today's agenda is clearly more interesting with the speech of president Christine Lagarde and the announcement of the Minutes from the last Fed's meeting standing out.

The pair remain  trapped in a narrow range of variation in the last days and as I mentioned in previous articles the continuation of the upward momentum and the easy breakdown of the 1,10 level is not an easy task for the European currency.

While on the other hand the gap in interest rates in favor of the US currency remains with the possibility that it will widen on June which could once again give room for the US dollar to return to higher prices.

There is no change in my thoughts expecting levels above 1,10 to buy the US dollar while in a return to the lows of 1,06 I would consider the possibility of long positions in favor of the euro.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.