|

EUR/USD: Mild signs of fatigue for the Euro, falling to 1.0900 level

The single European currency is under mild decline in the early hours of Wednesday morning, having returned slightly below the level of 1,09 in an environment where developments are stormy.

The ''dance of tariffs'' set by President Donald Trump, the significant developments at the geopolitical level with a possible temporary ceasefire on the Ukrainian front, and the significant changes on the Old Continent with giant financial packages planned for defense and infrastructure have attracted the interest of investors and will determine the course of the exchange rate in the near future.

President Trump continues to be unpredictable, demonstrating his eccentric approach to policy issues, which confirms that his presidency will not be ''boring'' at all.

Recent developments with trade war have created significant concern in the investment community, which is reflected in the significant losses that the American stock markets have suffered recently, with the S&P barometer index approaching the level of 5,500 points yesterday, having already lost almost 10% from its high prices.

The US currency did not benefit at all from this development as risk aversion this time did not drive capitals to US dollar, which traditionally functions as a safe haven currency.

Today's agenda is very critical with the consumers inflation index in US standing out.

As some bets have been placed on the prospects of further reductions in key interest rates by Fed, today's announcement could act as a catalyst for several bets to change and, if a possible increase in inflationary pressures is confirmed, it could act as a trigger for the US currency to return to the spotlight.

I have no significant change in my thinking,  I remain quite concerned about the sharp upward trend of the European currency, maintaining the doubts about the possibility of this rise continuing for long.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.