EUR/USD still vulnerable to further downfalls – Confluence Detector
Functioning as immediate resistance in the EUR/USD we find several short-term intra-day moving averages as well as the 50-day simple, descending below the 1.1600 handle. A few pips above, the weekly pivot point R1 resistance and the 100-period SMA pertaining to the 4-hour charts, followed by the upper Bollinger in the same time frame could act as a temporary barrier. Looming a few pips above -now in the vicinity of the .1620's- the 200-period SMA on 4-hour charts and the 100-daily SMA printing at 1.1630. If violated, daily R2 at .1647 is the last noteworthy resistance until the next big figure. On the way up, we find the daily R3, which is not clustered to any other indicator.
On the downside, as the Technical Confluences Indicator shows, the pair has to reckon with a few lower-chart technical measures, and it is not until below 1.1540 (down to 1.1525) were we can find a new cluster of levels: the 100- and 200-hour SMAs, among other indicators. Further South, there is a wide swath of land to the pivot point's daily S2 and Monthly S1, both around 1.1480. Further below, daily- and weekly pivot's S1 could contain an eventual drop.
Here is how it looks on the tool:
Confluence Detector
The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.
This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.
Author
Gonçalo Moreira, CMT
Independent Analyst
As a trader in the foreign exchange market since 2005, Gonçalo Moreira honed his analytic and strategic skills through the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) designation.
