|

EUR/USD is reaching critical support at 1.1240, break or bounce? – Confluence Detector

EUR/USD continues drifting lower, erasing its recovery and trading at the lowest levels in two weeks. What's next? It is now close to critical support.

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the euro/dollar has a lot of support at 1.1240 which is a dense cluster including the Bollinger Band 1h-Lower, the Pivot Point one-month Support 1, the PP one-day S1, the BB 4h-Lower, the previous monthly low, and the PP one-week Low. 

Further down, the pair only has weak support. 1.1217 is where the 2018 trough meets the PP one-day S2, and the BB one-day Lower.

Looking up, there are lots of resistance lines on the way up, with a substantial one at 1.1282 where we see the convergence of the previous 4h-high, the Simple Moving Average 5-4h, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, the BB 1h-Middle, and the previous weekly low.

The most significant cap is at 1.1340 where we see the confluence of the SMA 200-1h, the SMA 5-1d, the SMA 50-4h, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the SMA 10-1d, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week. and the SMA 50-one-day.

It is closely followed by 1.1369 where we see the SMA 100-one-day and the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day converge.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical confluence March 27 2019

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY stays below 160.50 as markets assess BoJ decision

USD/JPY fluctuates in a relatively narrow range above 160.00 on Tuesday as markets assess the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to raise the policy rate by 25 at the June meeting. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on news coming out of the Middle East, while preparing for the critical Fed meeting.

AUD/USD trades in tight channel near 0.7050 despite hawkish RBA message

AUD/USD trades modestly lower on the day at around 0.7050 on Tuesday as markets adopt a cautious stance amid a lack of details surrounding the US-Iran peace agreement. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left the door open for possible policy tightening after leaving the interest rate unchanged, as expected, at the June meeting but failed to boost the Australian Dollar.

Gold: Recovery remains capped by $4,400 for now

Gold continues to trade with a constructive tone and flirts with the $4,350 zone per troy ounce on Tuesday. The early enthusiasm sparked by the US-Iran peace deal has faded somewhat, prompting investors to adopt a more prudent stance as they await further details of the agreement and key guidance from the Fed.

Solana's rebound gains momentum as ETF inflows return

Solana (SOL) steadies at $73 after posting three consecutive green candlesticks since the weekend. The recent recovery is supported by institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording net inflows of $2.81 million on Monday.

BoJ just hiked and US-Iran deal is on the table: Why Japanese Yen is still around 160.00

The Bank of Japan lifted interest rates from 0.75% to 1.00%, its highest level in more than three decades. The landmark move aims to stabilize a sharply weakening Japanese Yen, but by looking at the immediate market reaction, it doesn’t look like it’s going to work.

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.