|

EUR/USD is close to critical support, break or bounce?– Confluence Detector

EUR/USD sticks to a narrow range around 1.1300 after Fed officials provide conflicting messages and markets remain calm ahead of Easter. Where next? It is hovering above critical support.

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that EUR/USD enjoys substantial support around 1.1284 where a dense cluster awaits the pair. It includes the Simple Moving Average 5-one-day, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month, the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week, the Pivot Point one-day Support 2, the SMA 200-4h, the SMA 100-1h, the Bollinger Band one-day Middle, and more. 

If it breaks lower, further support awaits at 1.1219 where the previous yearly low, the previous weekly low, and the Pivot Point one-week S1 converge. 

Resistance awaits at 1.1348 where the Fibonacci 61.8% one-month, the PP 1w-R1, the SMA 100-1d, and the PP 1d-R3 all meet.

Further above, 1.1390 is the confluence of the PP 1w-R2, the BB 1d-Upper, and the PP 1m-R1.

All in all, it all depends on the critical support line at 1.1284.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical confluence April 16 2019

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD drops below 1.3550 on geopolitical tensions, hawkish Fed bets

GBP/USD trades with mild losses below 1.3550 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar recovers some ground amid ongoing Middle East tensions and hawkish expectations around the Fed's interest rate outlook, weighing on the pair ahead of US data releases.

EUR/USD stays below 1.1600 ahead of US data

EUR/USD struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce and trades below 1.1600 on Tuesday. The data from the Eurozone showed that the annual HICP inflation rose to 3.3% in August from 2.9% in July, matching the market expectation, while the core HICP inflation edged lower to 2.4% from 2.5% in this period. In the second half of the day, JOLTS Job Openings and ISM Manufacturing PMI data will be featured in the US economic calendar.

Gold extends reversal below $4,400 on hawkish Fed repricing

XAU/USD extends its reversal below $4,400, posting a nearly 7% decline from last week's highs. Precious metals struggle this week as markets reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP struggle to extend gains despite ETF inflows

Bitcoin stalls while holding above $78,000 support as ETF inflows return. Ethereum takes a breather around $2,450 amid sustained institutional support. XRP remains pressured as the 200-day EMA provides immediate support.

US JOLTS Job Openings set to show a steady labor market

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics has a busy week, releasing relevant employment data. It will start on Tuesday with the publication of the July Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) at 14:00 GMT. The JOLTS report is expected to show job openings stood at 7.3 million in July.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.