|

EUR/USD eyes 1.1862 as markets eye the ECB – Confluence Detector

The EUR/USD managed to find its feet after the hawkish hike from the Fed, and it now faces the European Central Bank. What levels should we look out for?

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the EUR/USD is battling 1.1807 which is a dense cluster of technical levels including the Bollinger Band 15m-Middle, the 1d-high, the Simple Moving Average 200-4h, the SMA 5-15m, the SMA 10-15m, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and the SMA 10-1h.

Should the pair emerge as a winner from the battle, the next level to watch is 1.1862 which is the convergence of the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 1, the Bollinger Band one-day Upper, and the all-important Fibonacci 61.8% one-month. Much higher above, 1.1948 is notable for the Pivot Point one-week Resistance 2.

Looking down, strong support is at 1.1764 which is the confluence of the Bolinger Band 1h-Lower, the SMA 50-4h, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day, and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-week.

Lower, the 1.1727 consists of robust lines such as the Bolinger Band 1d-Middle, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-week and the Fibonacci 38.2% one-month. 

All in all, the path of least resistance is to the upside.

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EUR USD technical confluence analysis June 14 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surrenders some gains, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD holds on to moderate gains above 1.3400 the figure on Friday. Optimism surrounding the UK government’s leadership transition and expectations of further BoE tightening support the British Pound, while easing tensions in the Middle East and fading Fed rate-hike expectations weigh on the US Dollar.

EUR/USD turns positive, targets 1.1450

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances toward the 1.1440 region on Friday, up modestly for the day. With no major economic data due, lingering uncertainty over the US-Iran conflict keeps investors cautious, limiting the pair's upside.

Gold remains offered, still below $4,100

Gold struggles to extend Thursday’s rebound and navigates below the $4,100 mark per troy ounce on Friday. Uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict limits the precious metal’s upside, which is also under pressure amid rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Week ahead – US CPI and Warsh testimony to take centre stage, BoC eyed too

US inflation report and Warsh testimony to headline the week. Dollar to dominate amid slew of other US data and Mideast tensions. Amid fresh Iran escalation, China GDP to shed light on Q2 impact. Bank of Canada not expected to follow RBNZ with rate hike.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June Federal Open Market Committee meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.