|

EUR/USD: Euro on hold above 1.1100 level ahead of Powell's speech in Jackson Hole

Τhe single European currency has stabilized slightly above the 1.11 level after yesterday's mild correction as signs of fatigue were clearly on the table.

Μixed macroeconomic data from both sides of the Atlantic did not allow for significant market volatility while at the same time acting as a weight on the continued upward movement of the European currency.

Surveys for the performance of the services and manufacturing sectors in  Eurozone and US were announced close to estimates without causing much concern but keeping fears on the table about the growth rate.

Last month's disappointing US jobs data acted as a trigger to increase speculation against the US dollar, as several investors bet on a more than 25 basis point rate cut in September.

For now bets remain relatively unchanged with the possibility of a 25 basis point rates cut currently being the baseline scenario.

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hοle certainly stands out on today's agenda as investors eagerly await possible fresh messages for Fed's September meeting.

The European currency's rise of the past 2 weeks seems to have lost its momentum confirming the thought that signs of fatigue will soon appear on the table.

I will maintain this thought and the strategy of potentially buying the US currency near 1,12  level as during yesterday although the exchange rate approached this level I failed to find the correct entry point.

Author

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Vasilis Tsaprounis

Independent Analyst

Vassilis Tsaprounis possesses over 25 years of professional experience in Capital Markets and especially in the foreign exchange market.

More from Vasilis Tsaprounis
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).