|

EUR/USD: Euro may have found the bottom of the downtrend

What happened in the last 24 hrs of the trading session?

EUR/USD: The Euro bounced at around the support trend line highlighted in yesterday's update at 1.13607 and made one attempt to break out at 1.14240 during the European session but was unsuccessful and retreated to 1.13950.

The Euro ended the European session with a high low which is an indication that the pair may have found the bottom of the current pullback and may start to make changes to the direction of the trend.

What is going on now?

EUR/USD:  The Euro made only one attempt to challenge the current breakout point at 1.14240. However, the pair has bounced at 1.13950 support and the trend line highlighted on the chart and is now starting to show signs of life as it moves parallel to the support trend line and heads back up. The pair is currently trading at 1.14010 just above 1.13950 support and will need to hold above this point to continue to the upside.

My thoughts on what may happen

1. EUR/USD: The pair may have found long-term support as the current price action indicates a potential change to the direction of the trend could be underway. However, the pair will need to break and hold above 1.14240 to progress to its first target at 1.14798. The pair will also need to hold above 1.13950 support to avoid falling to 1.13607 support.

2. Support: 1.13950, 1.13607

3. Resistance: 1.14240, 1.14465, 1.14798

4. It is good practice to apply a stop loss to all your trades to protect your capital in case the market moves against your position.

5. Estimated target: 1.1478, 1.15330

The short-term view of the price action in the 60 minutes price chart highlights the direction of the trend and the support and resistance price points

The short-term view of the price action in the four-hour price chart highlights the direction of the trend and the support and resistance price points

Author

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Denis Joeli Fatiaki

Independent Analyst

Denis Joeli Fatiaki possesses over a decade of extensive experience as a multi-asset trader and Market Strategist.

More from Denis Joeli Fatiaki
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD falls to near 0.7100 after slipping below 50-day EMA

AUD/USD depreciates after registering minor gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows the pair consolidating sideways within a rectangle pattern, as neither bulls nor bears gain control. The AUD/USD pair is holding a slight bearish tone however as it sits beneath both the nine-day and 50-day EMAs.

160.00: USD/JPY back near intervention territory after upbeat US jobs report

US Nonfarm Payrolls beat expectations by a wide margin in May, with 172K jobs added. The US Dollar rebounds after the release, helping USD/JPY recover from its intraday lows. Warnings from Japanese authorities continue to limit upside potential near the 160.00 threshold.

Gold targets $4,300 amid stronger Dollar

Gold faces increasing selling interest and navigates the area of three-month lows near the $4,300 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s decline comes as traders assess the stronger-than-expected NFP, while the bid bias in the Greenback and higher US Treasury yields also collaborate with the retracement.

Cardano hits five-year low even as Hoskinson clarifies "break" isn't an exit

Cardano (ADA) price is down 10% at press time on Friday, extending losses over 30% so far this week amid Charles Hoskinson's clarification that "break" isn't an exit.

Week ahead – Fed countdown begins amid US inflation data and geopolitical risks

Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting approaches as key US inflation data could reshape expectations. Oil prices remain elevated as US-Iran talks continue; tariffs also return to the spotlight. ECB is expected to hike; will it be a one-off move or is July live?

The US economy defies the rules: 100 days into the Oil shock and the recession signal is still missing

More than three months after the start of the Iran war and the resulting disruption to global energy markets, the US economy continues to display remarkable resilience. The conflict has triggered a sharp rise in Oil prices, reignited inflationary pressures and fueled widespread concerns about a potential economic slowdown.