|

EUR/USD ceiling is lower than it seems, easier to fall — Confluence Detector

The EUR/USD is on the back foot on Friday after recovering on Thursday. Will it try to recover again? It may have a hard time. 

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that the pair will find it hard to recapture the 1.1695 level. This is the convergence of the Pivot Point one-week S1, the 1h-Lowe, the 4h-High, the Pivot Point one-day S1, and the Bollinger Band 15m-Lower Stdv. 2.2.

A move above this level will not have too much room to run as the next dense congestion of resistance lines awaits at 1.1720 which is the meeting point of the Fibonacci 61.8%, the Simple Moving Average 200-15m, the Simple Moving Average 5-4h, the Bolinger Band 15-Upper, and the BB 1h-Middle.

On the downside, some support awaits at 1.1660 which is the cluster of the Fibonacci 161.8% one-day, the Bollinger Band 1h-Lower, and the BB one-day Lower. 

Further down, the next confluence of support lines only at 1.1590: the Pivot Point one-week Support 2 and the Pivot Point one-month Support 3.

All in all, the more potent lines are to the upside, leaving the path of least resistance to the downside. 

Here is how it looks on the tool:

EURUSD confluence technical levels analysis May 25 2018

Confluence Detector

The Confluence Detector finds exciting opportunities using Technical Confluences. The TC is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

This tool assigns a certain amount of “weight” to each indicator, and this “weight” can influence adjacents price levels. These weightings mean that one price level without any indicator or moving average but under the influence of two “strongly weighted” levels accumulate more resistance than their neighbors. In these cases, the tool signals resistance in apparently empty areas.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold edges lower despite Fed rate cut hopes on cooling US inflation

Gold price declines to below $4,350 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The precious metal edges lower due to some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from shorter-term futures traders. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP face sharp volatility as US posts lowest inflation rate in years

The latest inflation report released on Thursday in the United States sparked a wave of volatility in the crypto markets. The US Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% YoY in November, below forecasts of 3.1%, and lower than September's 3.0% reading, according to the Bureau of Labour Statistics.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.