|

EU tariffs, Trump new and important market releases

Important News for the week

  • Wed, 28th, 03:30 CET AU Consumer price index.

  • Wed, 28th, 04:00 CET NZ RBNZ Interest Rate Decision.

  • Wed, 28th, 20:00 CET US FOMC Meeting Minutes.

  • Thu, 29th, 14:30 CET US prelim. Gross Domestic Product.

  • Fri, 30th, DE prelim. Gross Domestic Product.

  • Fri, 30th, 14:30 CET US PCE Price Index.

RBNZ rate decision

This week, traders will focus on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, which will determine their interest rate decision. The market is expecting a rate cut of 25 basis points. Although the cut is widely expected, the Kiwi remains quite positive for now. Positive data from China, a generally weaker ton of the Fed and positive risk appetite in markets might cause a strong impact. If the RBNZ will be more dovish than expected, this could put pressure on the NZD in the short term. Any lower levels in the NZDUSD currency pair might then be used well as entries to the upside.

Market talk

Stock markets started another run higher after Trump has calmed markets over the weekend. He stated that tariffs over Europe will not be imposed for now and delayed at least until the 9th of July. In particular the German DAX was hence able to push higher again, after the recent slides from Friday last week. This might be a reason also why Gold prices continue to weaken for now. Positive risk sentiment generally causes Gold prices to weaken. Also, crypto markets tend to move to the upside again. After the slight correction in Bitcoin also this market is pushing higher. The general weakness of the Dollar might help markets in general.

Tendencies in the markets

  • Equities positive, USD weaker, Bitcoin positive, Altcoins positive, oil sideways, Silver positive, Gold positive, JPY weak.

Author

Frank Walbaum

Frank Walbaum

FX Strategies.Asia

Frank has been working in the TV business for several years. Acquiring his skills in Germany’s biggest broadcasting station, he then chose to work and live in Asia, which was in 2007.

More from Frank Walbaum
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).