Daily Forecast - 22 June 2017
Emini Dow Jones September Contract
Emini Dow Jones broke first support at 21405/400 to bottom exactly at better support at 21355/345 as predicted. However it is obvious we could do with a small correction after gains of 5% in only a month. On further losses look for 21315/305 & quite good support at 21260/250. A bounce from here likely in the bull trend...there is always a buyer out there somewhere....but longs need stops below 21215. If we continue lower look for 21190/180 then support at 21120/110.
Holding first support at 21355/345 allows a recovery to 21405/400 before minor resistance at 21440/4450 & the all time high at 21494. If we continue higher look for 21610/620 in to the end of the week.
S&P September Contract
Emini S&P retests the best support for today at 2429/26. We may bounce again as we retest this level now - perhaps another 10 pointer...but a break lower later today is more likely now. We do need a correction. Be ready to sell a break lower targeting the low last week at 2419/18 & 2 week low at 2415. Bear in mind a weekly close on Friday below 2418 gives us a weekly reversal sell signal. Only minor - but still a short term sell signal. Below 2415 today targets short term Fibonacci support at 2411/10 with a good chance of a low for the day.
Bulls need prices above 2440 today to retest the 2450/51.50 high. Bear in mind very strong resistance at 2457/59 & again at 4.5 year trend line resistance at 2475/80.
The contents of our reports are intended to be understood by professional users who are fully aware of the inherent risks in Forex, Futures, Options, Stocks and Bonds trading. INFORMATION PROVIDED WITHIN THIS MATERIAL SHOULD NOT BE CONSTRUED AS ADVICE AND IS PROVIDED FOR INFORMATION AND EDUCATION PURPOSES ONLY.
Recommended Content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD could extend the recovery to 0.6500 and above
The enhanced risk appetite and the weakening of the Greenback enabled AUD/USD to build on the promising start to the week and trade closer to the key barrier at 0.6500 the figure ahead of key inflation figures in Australia.
EUR/USD now refocuses on the 200-day SMA
EUR/USD extended its positive momentum and rose above the 1.0700 yardstick, driven by the intense PMI-led retracement in the US Dollar as well as a prevailing risk-friendly environment in the FX universe.
Gold struggles around $2,325 despite broad US Dollar’s weakness
Gold reversed its direction and rose to the $2,320 area, erasing a large portion of its daily losses in the process. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays in the red below 4.6% following the weak US PMI data and supports XAU/USD.
Bitcoin price makes run for previous cycle highs as Morgan Stanley pushes BTC ETF exposure
Bitcoin (BTC) price strength continues to grow, three days after the fourth halving. Optimism continues to abound in the market as Bitcoiners envision a reclamation of previous cycle highs.
US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization
Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture, considering that the recent hawkish twist in the tone of the Federal Reserve might continue to push US long-term interest rates higher and put upward pressure on bond yields in the Eurozone.