|

Dovish Fed pushes Gold and Silver to record highs – What’s next?

Gold and silver prices dipped in early U.S. trading Thursday following a strong rally that saw gold hit a record high and silver a 14-year peak.

This pullback appears tied to short-term traders securing profits before the market turned back to the upside in a major way for both assets.

Gold hit a peak near $4,060 & silver a peak near $51.25, suggesting a potential short squeeze to come on silver prices.

Ongoing geopolitical tensions and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. government shutdown are expected to support safe-haven demand, helping to maintain a price floor for both metals in the near term.

Markets were otherwise relatively steady, with global stocks trending mixed to slightly higher and U.S. indexes gapping up to record territory.

The U.S. Federal Reserve’s recent minutes hinted at the likelihood of two more interest rate cuts this year.

Despite concerns about inflation, Fed members agreed that deteriorating labor market conditions justified further easing, though they emphasized the need for caution to avoid destabilizing inflation expectations.

Meanwhile, the bond market is bracing for potential volatility once delayed U.S. economic data resumes post-shutdown.

Key reports on jobs and inflation are expected to spark significant market movement, with options traders already pricing in increased uncertainty.

On the geopolitical front, a potential resolution between Israel and Hamas is underway, with a deal reportedly in place for the release of hostages and a phased Israeli military withdrawal from Gaza.

This could ease some of the geopolitical pressure that has been fueling demand for safe-haven assets like gold.

In commodities and currency, the U.S. dollar climbed to a nine-week high, while crude oil prices softened.

Gold futures face resistance near $4,100 and short-term support around $4,007, with silver aiming to stay above $50 but vulnerable to drops below $49.30.

Technical indicators show that both metals still hold near-term bullish advantages, although gold’s latest movements suggest consolidation after recent highs.

Author

Drew Wolfer

Drew Wolfer

Verified Investing

Family, Experiences, Morals, Values. Life. The way you live is what defines you. Drew lives by this code, if even to a fault.

More from Drew Wolfer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).