|

Dollar tumbles after key U.S. data missed forecasts: July 17, 2017

Market Review - 15/07/2017  02:59GMT  

Dollar tumbles after key U.S. data missed forecasts

The greenback tumbled across the board on Friday as the release of lower-than-expected U.S. inflation and retail sales data raised concerns about when the Federal Reserve would hike its rates next.  
  
On the data front, the U.S. Commerce Department said that consumer prices was unchanged in June from a month earlier, compared to forecasts for 0.1% increase and a 0.1% drop in the prior month. Year-over-year, consumer prices increased 1.6% last month, below forecasts for a 1.7% increase and easing even further from the 1.9% advance seen in May.  
  
In the same report, the U.S. Commerce Department said that retail sales fell 0.2% in June from the prior month, below forecasts for a gain of 0.1%. May's retail sales decreased by 0.1% which was an upward revision from an initial 0.3% decline.  
  
Versus the Japanese yen, dollar met renewed selling at 113.58 in Asian morning and dropped to 113.15 in early European morning. Intra-day decline accelerated at New York open on the release of poor U.S. data and price hit an intra-day low at 112.27 before staging a short-covering rebound in New York morning.  
  
The single currency traded with a firm bias in Asia and gained to 1.1424 in early European morning. Price then jumped at New York open to 1.1469 on dollar's broad-based weakness before stabilizing. Despite intra-day sideways swings after the U.S. data, euro later climbed to session highs of 1.1472 at the close.  
  
The British pound also traded with a firm bias in Asia and gained to 1.2966 at European open. Intra-day ascent accelerated at New York open on the back of poor U.S. data and cable surged to a fresh 13-month high at 1.3093 in New York morning due partly to active cross-buying of sterling especially vs euro. Cable continued to inch higher in New York afternoon and hit a 10-month peak of 1.3114 near the close.  
  
In other news, Fed's Kaplan said 'U.S. near full employment; some of recent weak inflation is transitory, some not; technical disruption weakening economic pricing power; expect wage pressure to mount in months ahead; starting see more wage pressure for unskilled workers.'  
  
Data to be released this week:  
  
UK house price, Japan market holiday, China retail sales, GDP, EU CPI, core CPI and U.S. NY manufacturing on Monday.  
  
New Zealand CPI, China House Price Index, UK RPI, CPI, PPI input, PPI output, DCLG house price, U.S. export price, import price, redbook and NAHB housing market on Tuesday.  
  
Australia Westpac leading index, EU construction output, UK inflation report hearings, U.S. MBA mortgage, building permits, housing starts and Canada manufacturing sales on Wednesday.  
  
Japan imports, exports, trade balance, Australia NAB business confidence, employment change, unemployment rate, Japan interest rate decision, monetary policy statement, outlook report, all industry activity, press conference, Swiss trade balance, exports, imports, EU PPI, current account, deposit rate decision, interest rate decision, consumer confidence, monetary policy statement and press conference, U.S. initial jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed survey, UK retail sales and core retail sales on Thursday.  
  
UK PSNB, PSNCR, Italy retail sales, Canada retail sales, core retail sales, CPI and core CPI on Friday. 

Author

AceTrader Team

Led by world-renowned technical analyst Wilson Leung, we have a team of 7 analysts monitoring the market and updating our recommendations and commentaries 24 hours a day.

More from AceTrader Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds firm near 1.1850 amid USD weakness

EUR/USD remains strongly bid around 1.1850 in European trading on Monday. The USD/JPY slide-led broad US Dollar weakness helps the pair build on Friday's recovery ahead of the Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence data for February. 

GBP/USD holds medium-term bullish bias above 1.3600

The GBP/USD pair trades on a softer note around 1.3605 during the early European session on Monday. Growing expectation of the Bank of England’s interest-rate cut weighs on the Pound Sterling against the Greenback. 

Gold remains supported by China's buying and USD weakness as traders eye US data

Gold struggles to capitalize on its intraday move up and remains below the $5,100 mark heading into the European session amid mixed cues. Data released over the weekend showed that the People's Bank of China extended its buying spree for a 15th month in January. Moreover, dovish US Fed expectations and concerns about the central bank's independence drag the US Dollar lower for the second straight day, providing an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal.

Cardano steadies as whale selling caps recovery

Cardano (ADA) steadies at $0.27 at the time of writing on Monday after slipping more than 5% in the previous week. On-chain data indicate a bearish trend, with certain whales offloading ADA. However, the technical outlook suggests bearish momentum is weakening, raising the possibility of a short-term relief rebound if buying interest picks up.

Japanese PM Takaichi nabs unprecedented victory – US data eyed this week

I do not think I would be exaggerating to say that Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s snap general election gamble paid off over the weekend – and then some. This secured the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) an unprecedented mandate just three months into her tenure.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate after massive sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices consolidated on Monday after correcting by nearly 9%, 8%, and 10% in the previous week, respectively. BTC is hovering around $70,000, while ETH and XRP are facing rejection at key levels. Traders should be cautious: despite recent stabilization, upside recovery for these top three cryptocurrencies is capped as the broader trend remains bearish.