|

Currency market: EUR/USD and USD/JPY day trades

The weekly trade as posted Sunday: Short 115.57 and 115.64 to target 114.76. Long 114.76 to target 115.37. Or Short below 114.40 to target 113.67.

Results: highs 115.68, lows 115.14.

USD/JPY jumped from 114.40 to 115.07 or 67 pips for yesterday's day trade. Note from yesterday's post to no confidence to 115.57 or 115.64 and wrote the trade off as zero for no credit and no profit pips.

But also yesterday was Thursday and weekly trades run to Friday. Friday is the day to declare victory, loss and trade totals. We've seen USD/JPY 2 weeks? ago on a late week move and achieve target and this week was no different.

What allowed USD/JPY to fly higher was successive drops to 114.40, 114.37 and 114.32. A break on any of these lines then weekly 115.57 and 115.64 was impossible. Deeply oversold USD/JPY at yesterday's 114.32 allowed a free trade long provided 114.32 held. And yet again, markets take us to the brink.

From the day trade perspective, 114.20 was offered so USD/JPY supports were located at 114.32 and 114.20. Both points were deeply oversold and at 2:00 am as the start today trades.

What I didn't like was USD/JPY traded lower all week. Note the 2nd leg long from 114.76 target to 115.37. Both prices were taken out of market contention when USD/JPY broke lower from 114.76. Once a price is taken out, its gone and forgotten and no longer is included.

USD/JPY lower target at 114.76 achieved before 115.57 and 115.64. Despite uneven prices, hold true to targets.

If 114.40 broke lower, we were covered for 49 profit pips to at least 113.91 day trade lows.

Most interested to yesterday and Russia was how the currency price would hold and trade. USD/JPY was normal and traded so far 128 weekly pips vs yesterday's 83.

EUR/USD from 1:30 am to 9 am traded 1.1261 to 1.1144 or 117 pips and normal day trade prices. From 9 am to 10 am traded 1.1108 to 1.1156 or 48 pips. Normal. From 10 to 11 traded 1.1141 to 1.1177 or normal 36 pips. From 11 am to 12.00 traded 1.1105 to 1.1177 or 72 pips.

See the 10 am Gold Fix or Option expiries hold any trade value or profits. No profits exists and 36 pips was an unusually big day for 10 am hour trading.

For the most part markets to include currencies and stock markets were confined to 300 ish pips and point ranges. EUR/USD traded 283 weekly pips or 47 pips per day and 3.93 pips per hour. Rare for 283 but not unusual.

To the weekly trade. I ask for credit for 115.57 and 115.64 targets and allow the short to continue to the 114.76 target. Deep caution to 114.76 to 115.37.

Lows so far achieved 115.14 or 50 ish pips.

USD/JPY 4 numbers for today's day trade: 114.64, 114.93, 115.51 and 115.79. The close today is expected right at 114.91.

EUR/USD 4 numbers: 1.1161, 1.1189, 1.1246 and 1.1274.

Maybe next week, we'll trade USD/JPY weekly and day trades together and include all trade profits for weekly totals. 

Author

Brian Twomey

Brian Twomey

Brian's Investment

Brian Twomey is an independent trader and a prolific writer on trading, having authored over sixty articles in Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities and Investopedia.

More from Brian Twomey
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key US data releases and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.