|

Commodity Report: Gold Price Forecast: 29 October 2019 [Video]

All Eyes On The Fed For Clue's On Gold's Next Move 

The final week of October is shaping up to be a massive economic data-driven week – headlined by the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting that starts on Tuesday.

The central bank will decide whether to cut interest rates for the third time in 2019 or leave the rate unchanged.

According to our in-house proprietary intelligence, there is a 94% probability that Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week. One reason is the on-going uncertainty surrounding U.S-China trade talks, Brexit and slowing global economic growth, which all point to another rate reduction.

Later in the week, U.S third-quarter GDP growth data is due for release on Wednesday, followed by the highly anticipated U.S employment report on Friday.

The October employment report is expected to show job growth of just 90,000, due to the impact of a 46,000 General Motors employees being out of work, due to a six week long strike. If the October report meets the consensus forecast – it will be the slowest U.S labor growth since May’s 62,000 jobs.

Traders will be closing monitoring the outcome of these major market moving events this week, for clues on Gold’s next big move.

Where are commodity prices heading next?  Watch Phil Carr at The Gold & Silver Club review Gold with the latest price forecast and predictions: 

Author

Phil Carr

Phil Carr

The Gold & Silver Club

Phil is the co-founder and Head of Trading at The Gold & Silver Club, an international Commodities Trading Firm specializing in Metals, Energies and Soft Commodities.

More from Phil Carr
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold holds losses near $5,050 despite renewed USD selling

Gold price trades in negative territory near $5,050 in Thursday's Asian session. The precious metal faces headwinds from stronger-than-expected US employment data, even as the US Dollar sees a bout of fresh selling. All eyes now remain on the next batch of US labor statistics. 

Crypto trades through a confidence reset

The cryptocurrency market is navigating a liquidity-driven reset rather than a narrative-driven rally. Bitcoin, Ethereum and major altcoins remain under pressure even as new exchange-traded fund filings continue and selected inflow days appear on the tape.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.