China: Which growth engines could pick up the slack of exports?

BNP Paribas Team BNP Paribas

The Chinese authorities have responded to the economic slowdown and US trade barriers by loosening monetary policy and letting the yuan depreciate in recent months, while considering fiscal stimulus measures. With policies to boost demand, the economic growth slowdown is likely to continue at a moderate pace in the short term. Any rebound in investment, however, is likely to be limited, restricted by the deterioration of export prospects, corporates' excessive debt, industrial restructuring measures and Beijing's determination to promote healthier development in the real estate market. As to private consumption, it may not be strong enough to pick up the slack.

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BNP Paribas Team

BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas Economic Research Department is a worldwide function, part of Corporate and Investment Banking, at the service of both the Bank and its customers.

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