China: Stocks take a big hit but not alone this time

After some stabilisation, Chinese stocks took a big hit overnight, falling 5% to the lowest level in more than two years. However, in contrast with the declines earlier this year, this was part of a global sell-off that included the US market. The sharp market fall was driven by the tech sector and centred on tech. The share price of China’s biggest tech company Tencent is down more than 40% from the peak in January.
The downward pressure on the CNY continued after China cut the Reserve Requirement Ratio for the third time this year. We expect the trend of a weaker CNY to continue and USD/CNY to hit 7.20 in 12 months. However, we doubt the US will label China as a currency manipulator in its report next week.
Bond yields and rates have been broadly stable lately.

Allan von Mehren Danske Bank A/S

Download The Full Monitor

Author

Allan von Mehren

Danske Bank A/S

EUR/USD holds lower ground near 1.1850 ahead of EU/ US data

EUR/USD remains in the negative territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.1850 in European trading on Friday. A broadly cautious market environment paired with modest US Dollar demand undermines the pair ahead of the Eurozone GDP second estimate and the critical US CPI data.

GBP/USD keeps losses around 1.3600, awaits US CPI for fresh impetus

GBP/USD holds moderate losses at around 1.3600 in the European session on Friday, though it lacks bearish conviction. The US Dollar remains supported amid softer risk tone and ahead of the US consumer inflation figures due later in the NA session on Friday.

Gold trims intraday gains to $5,000 as US inflation data loom

Gold retreats from the vicinity of the $5,000 psychological mark, though sticks to its modest intraday gains heading into the European session. Traders now look forward to the release of the US consumer inflation figures for more cues about the Fed policy path. The outlook will play a key role in influencing the near-term US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

US CPI data set to show modest inflation cooling as markets price in a more hawkish Fed

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish January’s Consumer Price Index data on Friday, delayed by the brief and partial United States government shutdown. The report is expected to show that inflationary pressures eased modestly but also remained above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Solana Price Forecast: Mixed market sentiment caps recovery

Solana (SOL) is trading at $79 as of Friday, following a correction of over 9% so far this week. On-chain and derivatives data indicates mixed sentiment among traders, further limiting the chances of a price recovery.